Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Quick-Time Events

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Quick-Time Events 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Quick-Time Events

Of 44 developers who shipped a Quick-Time Events 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 52 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $270 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 27 developers shipped in the last year and 52 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 52 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Quick-Time Events
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 44
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $776 → $90 → $0 → $1.2k → $358 → $269 → $90 (still earning) → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Quick-Time Events: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 44
Bottom 30% $89 (exactly $89)
Median $358 (exactly $358)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 5% $60k (exactly $60,014)
Developers, 2 yr 44
Released games 93
Announced 52
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Quick-Time Events
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Quick-Time Events; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Platformer
Price point
$2.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $2.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 13,277 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $89, median $360, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $60k.

3 in 10 developers made under $89. 8 in 10 of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 52 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SONIC X SHADOW GENERATIONS $49.99 12,178 96% 365k $18M (exactly $18,263,347) Sonic Team
PAC-MAN WORLD 2 Re-PAC $29.99 694 90% 21k $624k (exactly $624,392) NOW PRODUCTION Co., Ltd.
Broken Sword 3 - the Sleeping Dragon (2003) older $5.99 750 55% 23k $135k (exactly $134,775) Revolution Software Ltd
Twelves:Shadow $12.99 154 35% 4.6k $60k (exactly $60,014) JuLu Studio
Rocket Assault: Downhill Rush older $7.99 209 92% 6.3k $50k (exactly $50,097) Giovanni Elgert
Frog Jump $4.99 158 86% 4.7k $24k (exactly $23,653) SlugShot Games
Angry Penguin older $1.99 328 92% 9.8k $20k (exactly $19,582) PAIN PEPPER
Nomyou $11.99 39 56% 1.2k $14k (exactly $14,028) Kudalyn's Creations
2 Bows 1 Arrow $6.99 28 100% 840 $5.9k (exactly $5,872) SKL Games
BandRoll · EA older $1.99 98 85% 2.9k $5.9k (exactly $5,851) Bluespy Studios
Medieval Tavern Simulator · EA $10.99 6 83% 180 $2.0k (exactly $1,978) Superwolf Game Studio
Strong Crab $5.99 11 81% 330 $2.0k (exactly $1,977) Kayla.Z
Super Miaoyin $8.99 7 85% 210 $1.9k (exactly $1,888) Hou Xiaohou
Sleeping Dragon $19.99 2 100% 60 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Vermillion Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.