Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Platformer › 3D Platformer + Procedural Generation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Procedural Generation 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Procedural Generation

Of 61 developers who shipped a Procedural Generation 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 103 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 30 developers shipped in the last year and 103 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 330% on the market, 103 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Procedural Generation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 61
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.2k → $479 → $150 → $120 → $1.0k → $779 → $390 (still earning) → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Procedural Generation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 61
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 5% $8.6k (exactly $8,635)
Developers, 2 yr 61
Released games 189
Announced 103
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 330% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Procedural Generation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Procedural Generation; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Platformer, Action-Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Funny, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 98% positive over 14,209 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $8.6k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 37 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 103 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

White Knuckle 2025 · EA · $6.8M Phantom Abyss 2024 · $1.2M OlliOlli World 2022 · $539k METAL DOGS 2023 · $459k Catlateral Damage 2015 · $301k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
White Knuckle · EA $16.99 13,356 98% 401k $6.8M (exactly $6,807,553) Dark Machine Games
Phantom Abyss older $19.99 1,962 81% 59k $1.2M (exactly $1,176,611) Team WIBY
OlliOlli World older $19.99 898 93% 27k $539k (exactly $538,531) Roll7
METAL DOGS older $19.99 766 81% 23k $459k (exactly $459,370) 24Frame,inc.
Catlateral Damage older $9.99 1,006 88% 30k $301k (exactly $301,498) Manekoware, Fire Hose Games
Tall Trails $9.99 691 99% 21k $207k (exactly $207,093) Brady Soglin
Love Love School Days older $5.99 1,067 95% 32k $192k (exactly $191,740) OTL GAME
Fallback older $9.99 299 87% 9.0k $90k (exactly $89,610) Endroad
Tower Princess older $19.99 109 65% 3.3k $65k (exactly $65,367) AweKteaM
What the Fog older $4.99 264 72% 7.9k $40k (exactly $39,521) Behaviour Interactive Inc.
SCHROTT: Roguelike Racer · EA $12.99 49 91% 1.5k $19k (exactly $19,095) Ivy Juice
Designated Driver Simulator · EA $17.99 16 62% 480 $8.6k (exactly $8,635) PostSIM
Virballs $14.99 12 100% 360 $5.4k (exactly $5,396) Bolder Games, Chimera Studios
Anomaly Protocol · EA $4.99 33 72% 990 $4.9k (exactly $4,940) Oriland
Marble Champions $14.99 9 66% 270 $4.0k (exactly $4,047) Luc Versleijen, Neonchimp Games
✈️Velocity Wings✈️ $9.80 12 91% 360 $3.5k (exactly $3,528) ZhiFeng Games
Golf Around 2 $7.99 12 41% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) Hough Studio
BAROQUE ~ Become a Meta-Being ~ Revive $4.99 19 94% 570 $2.8k (exactly $2,844) Sting

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.