Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Point & Click

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Point & Click 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Point & Click

Of 43 developers who shipped a Point & Click 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $210 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 24 developers shipped in the last year and 36 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 36 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Point & Click
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 43
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.1k → $178 → $2.7k → $89 → $120 → $1.7k → $119 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Point & Click: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 43
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $178 (exactly $178)
Top 25% $1.9k (exactly $1,918)
Top 5% $323k (exactly $323,106)
Developers, 2 yr 43
Released games 152
Announced 36
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Point & Click
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Point & Click; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 4,528 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $1.9k, 1 in 20 over $320k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 29 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SHUTEN ORDER $49.99 712 80% 21k $1.1M (exactly $1,067,786) Neilo Inc.
Monument Valley 3 $14.99 2,155 93% 65k $969k (exactly $969,104) ustwo games
Winion Virus $10.99 980 94% 29k $323k (exactly $323,106) Dawntown Studio
Tiny Lands older $6.99 870 92% 26k $182k (exactly $182,439) Hyper Three Studio
Broken Sword 3 - the Sleeping Dragon (2003) older $5.99 750 55% 23k $135k (exactly $134,775) Revolution Software Ltd
Broken Sword 4 - the Angel of Death (2006) older $5.99 456 43% 14k $82k (exactly $81,943) Sumo Digital Ltd
NAMAKORIUM (ナマコリウム) $11.99 148 93% 4.4k $53k (exactly $53,236) Polyscape Inc.
Playing House $6.99 197 94% 5.9k $41k (exactly $41,311) 鬱薔薇檸檬(UtubaraLemon)
Tiny Lands 2 $9.99 126 94% 3.8k $38k (exactly $37,762) Hyper Three Studio
Frog's Adventure older $4.99 197 99% 5.9k $29k (exactly $29,491) Sokpop Collective
Bottle Can Float $3.99 91 89% 2.7k $11k (exactly $10,893) Kayla.Z
百尺様 $6.99 36 69% 1.1k $7.5k (exactly $7,549) Neruneko
Hardcore and Death $1.99 64 84% 1.9k $3.8k (exactly $3,821) ZERO5GAMES
Where wh..? $4.99 19 78% 570 $2.8k (exactly $2,844) Pita Game

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.