Do I ship it?

GamesParty-Based RPGParty-Based RPG + 3D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 3D Platformer Party-Based RPG?

Party-Based RPG + 3D Platformer

Only 18 developers shipped a 3D Platformer Party-Based RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, OUTCLAW, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 41 more are announced, ×5.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $480 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 7 developers shipped in the last year and 41 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 380% on the market, 41 announced, ×5.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party-Based RPG + 3D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $55k → $3.4k → $299 → $270 → $150 → $7.2k → $297 (still earning) → $7.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Party-Based RPG + 3D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $297 (exactly $297)
Top 25% $3.4k (exactly $3,448)
Top 5% $33k (exactly $32,987)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 75
Announced 41
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 380% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party-Based RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Party-Based RPG, 3D Platformer; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Adventure, Strategy
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $22.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person, 3D, Cartoony
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $22.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 215 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $300, 1 in 4 over $3.4k, 1 in 20 over $32k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. All of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 41 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party-Based RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Point & ClickFair17 devs · median $2.5k · 20 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair15 devs · median $479 · 16 announced
  5. + Martial ArtsPoor odds5 devs · median $230k · 16 announced
  6. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $49k · 25 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds23 devs · median $34k · 71 announced
  8. + BuildingPoor odds12 devs · median $32k · 37 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds14 devs · median $21k · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds67 devs · median $19k · 76 announced
  11. + Base BuildingPoor odds19 devs · median $19k · 51 announced
  12. + IncrementalPoor odds18 devs · median $15k · 45 announced

All 111 pairs on the Party-Based RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
FINAL FANTASY VII REMAKE INTERGRADE older $39.99 43,473 87% 1.3M $52M (exactly $52,154,558) Square Enix
CRISIS CORE –FINAL FANTASY VII– REUNION older $49.99 6,949 89% 208k $10M (exactly $10,421,415) Square Enix, TOSE CO., LTD.
Chinese Online Game older $9.99 6,610 82% 198k $2.0M (exactly $1,981,017) 648工作室
No Straight Roads: Encore Edition older $24.99 1,813 89% 54k $1.4M (exactly $1,359,206) Metronomik
THE 4 SINS older $9.99 3,377 23% 101k $1.0M (exactly $1,012,087) 奇门互娱
Sword and Fairy 3 older $7.99 1,936 84% 58k $464k (exactly $464,059) SOFTSTAR TECHNOLOGY(SHANGHAI)
Born of Bread older $24.99 460 79% 14k $345k (exactly $344,862) WildArts Games
Sword and Fairy 3 Ex older $7.99 524 82% 16k $126k (exactly $125,603) SOFTSTAR TECHNOLOGY(SHANGHAI)
Sword and Fairy 4 older $12.99 245 77% 7.4k $95k (exactly $95,476) SOFTSTAR TECHNOLOGY(SHANGHAI)
Xuan-Yuan Sword: The Clouds Faraway older $9.99 210 70% 6.3k $63k (exactly $62,937) SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT, DOMO Studio
OUTCLAW $24.99 44 93% 1.3k $33k (exactly $32,987) Moss Monkey
DungeonCrawlers $8.99 77 68% 2.3k $21k (exactly $20,767) KusanohitoCreative
Three Kingdoms: Shu-Han Chronicles $12.99 20 45% 600 $7.8k (exactly $7,794) QianFan Game
Soul•Apocalypto $11.99 20 80% 600 $7.2k (exactly $7,194) 卜乙冈(Ploygon)
Legend of the Wargod · EA $22.99 5 100% 150 $3.4k (exactly $3,448) Revelen
Mush Dash · EA $2.99 34 82% 1.0k $3.1k (exactly $3,050) 笨笨Bon, CrazyDog, 邻居家的猫
The Curse of Mount Madre $9.99 3 66% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Kevin Musto
Rebel Infernal Path $15.99 1 100% 30 $480 (exactly $480) Lonewolf&Cat / 孤独な狼と猫
Nori Game $0.99 10 100% 300 $297 (exactly $297) Nori Game
Desert Mercenary corps $8.99 1 100% 30 $270 (exactly $270) CXCY CO.,LTD

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.