Games › 3D Platformer › 3D Platformer + Outbreak Sim
Should I ship an Outbreak Sim 3D Platformer?
3D Platformer + Outbreak Sim
Only 7 developers shipped an Outbreak Sim 3D Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Backrooms: Partygoers, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $270, ×0.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90; 1 in 20 cleared $3.9k, ×6.3 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 7 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $90 (exactly $90) |
|---|---|
| Median | $270 (exactly $270) |
| Top 25% | $1.1k (exactly $1,078) |
| Top 5% | $4.0k (exactly $3,957) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 7 |
| Released games | 26 |
| Announced | 7 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 150% more developers than the period before.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- 3D Platformer
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Outbreak Sim
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- 3D Platformer, Outbreak Sim
- Price point
- $5.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $4.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 364 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $90. 7 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + TransportationFair
- + MiningFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + GolfFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + SokobanFair
- + Survival HorrorFair
- + Perma DeathFair
- + AutomationFair
- + OffroadLong shot
- + Looter ShooterLong shot
- + CatsLong shot
Comparable games
2番線 | Nibansen 2024 · $9.9k 
Meddl Dash 2024 · $6.5k 
Backrooms: Partygoers 2024 · $4.0k 
3番線 | Sanbansen 2024 · $3.6k 
Vaccine Delivery Simulator 2021 · $1.8k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | 2番線 | Nibansen | older | $4.99 | 66 80% | 2.0k | $9.9k (exactly $9,880) | MFC STUDIO |
| | Meddl Dash | older | $0.99 | 218 98% | 6.5k | $6.5k (exactly $6,475) | Rainer Zufall |
| | Backrooms: Partygoers | $11.99 | 11 90% | 330 | $4.0k (exactly $3,957) | Mascot Bro Studio | |
| | 3番線 | Sanbansen | older | $4.99 | 24 87% | 720 | $3.6k (exactly $3,593) | MFC STUDIO, KOSEI YASUDA |
| | Vaccine Delivery Simulator | older | $4.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $1.8k (exactly $1,796) | TakeThem.Games (Creative) |
 | Shoot The Barrel - BING BANG BOOM | · EA older | $14.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $1.3k (exactly $1,349) | Shoot The Barrel |
 | 2 Hours Later | $5.99 | 6 16% | 180 | $1.1k (exactly $1,078) | SevenGHON | |
 | Dead Inside | · EA older | $4.99 | 7 42% | 210 | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) | Dogukan Demir |
 | Operation Save the Girl: Code X | older | $1.99 | 13 38% | 390 | $776 (exactly $776) | 2024-NGame |
 | Nude By Night | $4.99 | 4 0% | 120 | $599 (exactly $599) | NX-Fusion Games | |
 | Vanishing In The Island Halphéra | $8.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $270 (exactly $270) | Soghoxal | |
 | Now | $2.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $90 (exactly $90) | Fetih Emirkulu | |
 | Chicken Up | $1.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | Chunky Cats Games | |
 | Resist Mutants | $6.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | WANG BAIMING |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.