Games › 3D Platformer › 3D Platformer + Noir
Should I ship a Noir 3D Platformer?
3D Platformer + Noir
Only 9 developers shipped a Noir 3D Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, HOTEL BARCELONA, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×4.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×2.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $60; 1 in 20 cleared $240k, ×385 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 23 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $60 (exactly $60) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.4k (exactly $1,435) |
| Top 25% | $3.1k (exactly $3,146) |
| Top 5% | $242k (exactly $242,019) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 40 |
| Announced | 23 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $3.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- 3D Platformer
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Noir
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- 3D Platformer
- Price point
- $3.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $4.94.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 34,307 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $60. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
3D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + TransportationFair
- + MiningFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + GolfFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + SokobanFair
- + Survival HorrorFair
- + Perma DeathFair
- + AutomationFair
- + OffroadLong shot
- + Looter ShooterLong shot
- + CatsLong shot
Comparable games
Alice: Madness Returns 2011 · $8.3M 
Contrast 2013 · $1.4M 
Metamorphosis 2020 · $350k 
HOTEL BARCELONA 2025 · $242k 
7th Sector 2019 · $212k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Alice: Madness Returns | older | $9.99 | 27,795 90% | 834k | $8.3M (exactly $8,330,162) | Spicy Horse Games |
| | Contrast | older | $9.99 | 4,548 90% | 136k | $1.4M (exactly $1,363,036) | Compulsion Games |
| | Metamorphosis | older | $24.99 | 467 83% | 14k | $350k (exactly $350,110) | Ovid Works |
| | HOTEL BARCELONA | $29.99 | 269 71% | 8.1k | $242k (exactly $242,019) | White Owls Inc. | |
| | 7th Sector | older | $10.99 | 643 72% | 19k | $212k (exactly $211,997) | Носков Сергей |
 | GravNewton | older | $9.99 | 379 78% | 11k | $114k (exactly $113,586) | JOZGamer, Hatus Quemuel |
 | Hot Tin Roof: The Cat That Wore A Fedora | older | $14.99 | 74 70% | 2.2k | $33k (exactly $33,278) | Glass Bottom Games |
 | 规则：醒来之后，请别叫我 | $44.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $13k (exactly $13,497) | 后希 | |
 | Tails Noir: Rebel Rush | older | $4.94 | 78 98% | 2.3k | $12k (exactly $11,560) | Soup with Friends, Eggnut |
 | Honked: a clown noir | older | $2.99 | 44 97% | 1.3k | $3.9k (exactly $3,947) | Crimp Games, Brieyh'leai, Chris, Nic, M… (Crimp Games, Brieyh'leai, Chris, Nic, Max, Sean, Alana, Karley) |
 | Dark Erosion: Endless Siege | $6.99 | 15 80% | 450 | $3.1k (exactly $3,146) | LaoLiang | |
 | The Longed-for Revenge of Undecember | $3.99 | 20 65% | 600 | $2.4k (exactly $2,394) | Hwi | |
 | DarkMytholoqy:Lucy | $2.99 | 16 100% | 480 | $1.4k (exactly $1,435) | Kioren Game | |
 | Murder&Spies | $1.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | navlikesbunnies | |
 | The Rise Of The Undead | $1.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | FENGRUI | |
 | RIP Love: A Story of Pain | $9.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Holeloop Studio | |
 | LostEcho | $1.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | DominamCheng |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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