Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Platformer › 3D Platformer + Ninja

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Ninja 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Ninja

Only 11 developers shipped a Ninja 3D Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ghost Infinite Labyrinth, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 7 developers shipped in the last year and 24 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 24 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Ninja
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $537 → $505 → $270 → $0 → $2.2k → $300
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Ninja: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $537 (exactly $537)
Top 5% $3.6k (exactly $3,596)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 38
Announced 24
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Ninja
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 83% positive over 48 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $300, 1 in 4 over $530, 1 in 20 over $3.5k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

SAMURAI MAIDEN 2022 · $1.2M The LEGO® NINJAGO® Movie Video Game 2017 · $1.1M Mini Ninjas 2009 · $1.1M BAKERU 2024 · $455k The Crown of Wu 2023 · $19k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SAMURAI MAIDEN older $59.99 648 60% 19k $1.2M (exactly $1,166,206) SHADE Inc.
The LEGO® NINJAGO® Movie Video Game older $19.99 1,916 86% 57k $1.1M (exactly $1,149,025) Traveller's Tales, TT Games
Mini Ninjas older $9.99 3,682 90% 110k $1.1M (exactly $1,103,495) IO Interactive
BAKERU older $39.99 379 94% 11k $455k (exactly $454,686) Good-Feel Co., Ltd.
The Crown of Wu older $19.99 31 80% 930 $19k (exactly $18,591) Red Mountain
Albacete Warrior older $9.99 35 85% 1.1k $10k (exactly $10,490) FAS3 Estudios S.L.
Stickit older $2.99 41 92% 1.2k $3.7k (exactly $3,678) Symfonim
Ghost Infinite Labyrinth $7.99 15 60% 450 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) riinwin
Katana Robo: RTA older $7.99 15 66% 450 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Twins Halo
Dirty Fighter: Hollow Point City older $7.99 12 50% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) Zero Brain, LLC
Ninjam! $8.99 8 87% 240 $2.2k (exactly $2,158) G-Blossom
Manga Ninja 漫画忍者 $1.99 9 100% 270 $537 (exactly $537) 玄清侠
Backflip Madness 2 $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Hubert Śliwka
Nobu Jump $1.99 6 100% 180 $358 (exactly $358) であるりん
The Legend of Kairo $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Derrick Davison
Sunset Street Ninja $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) SkeletronMK, The1AndonlyBloo
THE DOJO OF MOCHIKO $0.99 2 100% 60 $59 (exactly $59) FELICE INC
Angry Ninja $0.99 2 50% 60 $59 (exactly $59) Tornado Studio
Stranded at Sea $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Owen Delwiche, Preston Lindley, James G… (Owen Delwiche, Preston Lindley, James Goodwin)

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.