Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Platformer › 3D Platformer + Nature

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Nature 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Nature

Of 158 developers who shipped a Nature 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 271 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $420 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 90 developers shipped in the last year and 271 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 110% on the market, 271 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Nature
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 158
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $450 → $1.1k → $359 → $748 → $299 → $359 → $599 (still earning) → $180 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Nature: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 158
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $419 (exactly $419)
Top 25% $2.2k (exactly $2,246)
Top 5% $78k (exactly $77,622)
Developers, 2 yr 158
Released games 462
Announced 271
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 110% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Nature
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cute, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 8,615 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $420, 1 in 4 over $2.2k, 1 in 20 over $77k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 86 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 271 games are announced against 90 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Gorilla Tag 2023 · $32M Kena: Bridge of Spirits 2022 · $20M A Short Hike 2019 · $4.6M The Gunk 2022 · $3.6M My Little Puppy 2025 · $3.3M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gorilla Tag older $19.99 52,637 93% 1.6M $32M (exactly $31,566,409) Another Axiom Inc.
Kena: Bridge of Spirits older $39.99 16,701 91% 501k $20M (exactly $20,036,190) Ember Lab
A Short Hike older $7.99 19,219 99% 577k $4.6M (exactly $4,606,794) adamgryu
The Gunk older $24.99 4,744 86% 142k $3.6M (exactly $3,556,577) Image & Form Games
My Little Puppy $24.99 4,435 97% 133k $3.3M (exactly $3,324,920) Dreamotion Inc.
The Pathless older $39.99 1,944 90% 58k $2.3M (exactly $2,332,217) Giant Squid
Wavetale older $29.99 2,579 88% 77k $2.3M (exactly $2,320,326) Thunderful Development
AER Memories of Old older $14.99 5,064 86% 152k $2.3M (exactly $2,277,281) Forgotten Key
Peaks of Yore older $18.99 3,587 97% 108k $2.0M (exactly $2,043,514) Anders Grube Jensen
Arise: A Simple Story older $19.99 2,723 91% 82k $1.6M (exactly $1,632,983) Piccolo Studio
Herdling $24.99 871 93% 26k $653k (exactly $652,989) Okomotive
Gecko Gods $19.99 629 96% 19k $377k (exactly $377,211) Inresin
Isopod: A Webbed Spin-off $19.99 511 88% 15k $306k (exactly $306,447) Sbug Games
Tall Trails $9.99 691 99% 21k $207k (exactly $207,093) Brady Soglin
Chained Wheels $4.99 619 69% 19k $93k (exactly $92,664) Karga Games
PsiloSybil $12.99 232 85% 7.0k $90k (exactly $90,410) bad_vertex
Night Stones $9.99 259 93% 7.8k $78k (exactly $77,622) Advance Nine
Curiosity: A Cat Climbing Game $9.99 220 96% 6.6k $66k (exactly $65,934) DarkBear Studios, iNightGaming LLC
NAMAKORIUM (ナマコリウム) $11.99 148 93% 4.4k $53k (exactly $53,236) Polyscape Inc.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.