Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Mythology

Of 39 developers who shipped a Mythological 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 69 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $60k, ×96 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 69 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 69 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 39
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $2.7k → $30 → $680 → $1.2k → $899 → $597 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 39
Bottom 30% $208 (exactly $208)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,598)
Top 5% $60k (exactly $60,014)
Developers, 2 yr 39
Released games 121
Announced 69
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Action-Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 71% positive over 858 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $900, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $60k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 9 in 10 of the 31 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 69 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Bramble: The Mountain King older $29.99 6,512 94% 195k $5.9M (exactly $5,858,846) Dimfrost Studio
Praey for the Gods older $29.99 2,489 82% 75k $2.2M (exactly $2,239,353) No Matter Studios
Raji: An Ancient Epic older $24.99 2,197 86% 66k $1.6M (exactly $1,647,091) Nodding Heads Games
Sword and Fairy 3 older $7.99 1,936 84% 58k $464k (exactly $464,059) SOFTSTAR TECHNOLOGY(SHANGHAI)
El Shaddai ASCENSION OF THE METATRON HD Remaster older $29.99 457 83% 14k $411k (exactly $411,163) crim Co., Ltd.
Sphinx and the Cursed Mummy older $14.99 626 94% 19k $282k (exactly $281,512) Eurocom, THQ Nordic
Super Kiwi 64 older $2.99 1,805 95% 54k $162k (exactly $161,908) Siactro
The Game of Sisyphus older $6.99 741 79% 22k $155k (exactly $155,388) cream
Skábma™ - Snowfall older $19.99 191 81% 5.7k $115k (exactly $114,543) Red Stage Entertainment
Cultivation Magic World · EA $12.99 276 78% 8.3k $108k (exactly $107,557) DMG Studio
Twelves:Shadow $12.99 154 35% 4.6k $60k (exactly $60,014) JuLu Studio
XiuzhenWorld2 $12.99 134 67% 4.0k $52k (exactly $52,220) Noforgetit
Liuyin's world $18.99 79 89% 2.4k $45k (exactly $45,006) kingnagame
KAMiBAKO - Mythology of Cube - $29.99 37 64% 1.1k $33k (exactly $33,289) GRAVITY GAME ARISE
IZON. $12.99 44 95% 1.3k $17k (exactly $17,147) C&R Creative Studios
Hirogami $19.99 27 66% 810 $16k (exactly $16,192) Bandai Namco Studios Singapore Pte. Ltd… (Bandai Namco Studios Singapore Pte. Ltd., Bandai Namco Studios Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.)
Pyramidion · EA $4.99 71 85% 2.1k $11k (exactly $10,629) TechDevAYDIN
Emirati Tales $9.99 30 100% 900 $9.0k (exactly $8,991) Hamdan Hamid
CODE:VALKYRIE III $19.99 6 66% 180 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) Ulimworks

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.