Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Multiple Endings

Of 105 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 167 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×1.2 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $69k, ×110 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 167 games are announced against 53 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 167 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 105
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $359 → $2.6k → $1.4k → $748 → $1.6k → $599 → $598 (still earning) → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 105
Bottom 30% $358 (exactly $358)
Median $748 (exactly $748)
Top 25% $6.7k (exactly $6,746)
Top 5% $69k (exactly $69,034)
Developers, 2 yr 105
Released games 286
Announced 167
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Multiple Endings; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Action
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Story Rich, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 5,203 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $750, 1 in 4 over $6.7k, 1 in 20 over $69k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 9 in 10 of the 68 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 167 games are announced against 53 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mirror 2: Project X · EA older $1.99 111,251 24% 3.3M $6.6M (exactly $6,641,685) KAGAMI Ⅱ WORKs
Sable older $24.99 5,365 86% 161k $4.0M (exactly $4,022,140) Shedworks
Chinese Online Game older $9.99 6,610 82% 198k $2.0M (exactly $1,981,017) 648工作室
Disney Epic Mickey: Rebrushed $39.99 1,275 93% 38k $1.5M (exactly $1,529,618) Purple Lamp
THE 4 SINS older $9.99 3,377 23% 101k $1.0M (exactly $1,012,087) 奇门互娱
Stardom 3 older $12.99 1,600 94% 48k $624k (exactly $623,520) SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT
Funi Raccoon Game $11.99 1,683 99% 50k $605k (exactly $605,375) Crayon, Kit
Sword and Fairy 3 older $7.99 1,936 84% 58k $464k (exactly $464,059) SOFTSTAR TECHNOLOGY(SHANGHAI)
下一站江湖Ⅰ older $19.99 581 72% 17k $348k (exactly $348,426) 白玉京工作室
7th Sector older $10.99 643 72% 19k $212k (exactly $211,997) Носков Сергей
Cirno! Lifts a Boulder $5.99 993 97% 30k $178k (exactly $178,442) Alexander Golke
Retrace the Light $17.99 170 85% 5.1k $92k (exactly $91,749) Xiaming Game
WorldNeverland - Daily Life in the Elnea Kingdom - Another Life Adventure $29.99 92 78% 2.8k $83k (exactly $82,772) althi Inc.
Valkyrie Saga $7.99 288 92% 8.6k $69k (exactly $69,034) Public Void
Curiosity: A Cat Climbing Game $9.99 220 96% 6.6k $66k (exactly $65,934) DarkBear Studios, iNightGaming LLC
Campus Fantasy $9.99 208 69% 6.2k $62k (exactly $62,338) 聂宇星
PROGRESS ORDERS $19.99 77 36% 2.3k $46k (exactly $46,177) HAKAMA Inc.
Playing House $6.99 197 94% 5.9k $41k (exactly $41,311) 鬱薔薇檸檬(UtubaraLemon)

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.