Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Platformer › 3D Platformer + Modern

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Modern-Day 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Modern

Of 58 developers who shipped a Modern-Day 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 46 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 27 developers shipped in the last year and 46 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 46 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Modern
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 58
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $597 → $1.8k → $1.2k → $599 → $449 → $239 (still earning) → $2.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Modern: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 58
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,144)
Top 5% $218k (exactly $217,764)
Developers, 2 yr 58
Released games 171
Announced 46
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Modern
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Simulation, Action
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 3,918 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $480, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $210k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 36 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 46 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Tomb Raider: Legend 2007 · $1.1M 近畿霊務局 - Kinki Spiritual Affairs Bureau 2024 · $833k KYOTO XANADU -the Blooming Phantom- 2026 · $665k Stardom 3 2022 · $624k Ben 10: Power Trip 2020 · $288k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tomb Raider: Legend older $6.99 5,430 87% 163k $1.1M (exactly $1,138,671) Crystal Dynamics
近畿霊務局 - Kinki Spiritual Affairs Bureau $9.99 2,780 92% 83k $833k (exactly $833,166) Noto Muteki
KYOTO XANADU -the Blooming Phantom- $54.99 403 78% 12k $665k (exactly $664,829) Nihon Falcom
Stardom 3 older $12.99 1,600 94% 48k $624k (exactly $623,520) SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT
Ben 10: Power Trip older $29.99 320 78% 9.6k $288k (exactly $287,904) PHL Collective
VARLET $59.99 121 47% 3.6k $218k (exactly $217,764) FURYU CORPORATION
Real estate tycoon · EA older $10.99 418 63% 13k $138k (exactly $137,815) Double Eggs
Lucky's Tale older $19.99 73 89% 2.2k $44k (exactly $43,778) Playful Corp.
Get Me Out, Please older $29.99 31 67% 930 $28k (exactly $27,891) D.H Inc., 株式会社ディッジ
Laundry & Supermarket Simulator $9.99 86 77% 2.6k $26k (exactly $25,774) SmartPlayGames
?? Movie Theater $4.99 149 97% 4.5k $22k (exactly $22,305) riinwin
Puppet Team $4.99 112 64% 3.4k $17k (exactly $16,766) Editmode
Codename: Terranova $23.99 23 69% 690 $17k (exactly $16,553) ACGames
DEBUG DEADLINE $4.99 64 92% 1.9k $9.6k (exactly $9,581) OTL GAME
Backmooms $1.99 137 85% 4.1k $8.2k (exactly $8,179) LuuuLuuuL
Riruri Tachibana : Reincarnated $5.99 43 83% 1.3k $7.7k (exactly $7,727) OTL GAME

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.