Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Medieval

Of 102 developers who shipped a Medieval 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 115 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 56 developers shipped in the last year and 115 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 45% on the market, 115 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 102
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $299 → $839 → $629 → $119 → $539 → $1.4k → $269 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 102
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $2.5k (exactly $2,516)
Top 5% $65k (exactly $65,206)
Developers, 2 yr 102
Released games 279
Announced 115
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Platformer
Price point
$5.00 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
9 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $5.00.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 3,885 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $360, 1 in 4 over $2.5k, 1 in 20 over $65k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 58 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 115 games are announced against 56 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ALTF4 older $2.99 9,452 80% 284k $848k (exactly $847,844) PUMPKIM
Bloodthief $19.99 1,017 95% 31k $610k (exactly $609,895) Blargis
Shady Knight $19.99 898 93% 27k $539k (exactly $538,531) Alexey 'cptnsigh'
The Knightling $29.99 495 86% 15k $445k (exactly $445,352) Twirlbound
Asterix & Obelix XXL 2 older $19.99 713 75% 21k $428k (exactly $427,586) OSome Studio
Asterix & Obelix XXL: Romastered older $19.99 708 78% 21k $425k (exactly $424,588) OSome Studio
The Enjenir: The Engineering Physics Building Simulator · EA older $14.99 681 91% 20k $306k (exactly $306,246) PeatyTurf
Stickman Strikes: Conquer Fantasy World $11.99 642 78% 19k $231k (exactly $230,927) LGaoGame
Citadels older $14.99 375 13% 11k $169k (exactly $168,638) Games Distillery s.r.o.
ALTF42 older $7.99 495 75% 15k $119k (exactly $118,652) PUMPKIM
BURGGEIST $12.00 260 97% 7.8k $94k (exactly $93,600) GHRIAN STUDIO
Sex Wishes 🔮 $14.99 145 68% 4.4k $65k (exactly $65,206) Dirty Adventures 🖤
PROGRESS ORDERS $19.99 77 36% 2.3k $46k (exactly $46,177) HAKAMA Inc.
Dice Tavern: Farkle Roguelike $9.99 112 90% 3.4k $34k (exactly $33,566) Cavi Studio
VanySlash $17.99 61 86% 1.8k $33k (exactly $32,922) Atelier Delion
Catch Me $5.99 178 70% 5.3k $32k (exactly $31,987) Doorway Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.