Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Mechs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mech 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Mechs

Of 20 developers who shipped a Mech 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $630, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $900k, ×1446 the market median. Revenue is up 215% on the market; 28 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 215% on the market, 28 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Mechs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $587 → $30 → $20k → $657 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Mechs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $629 (exactly $629)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $14,395)
Top 5% $908k (exactly $908,173)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 55
Announced 28
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 215% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Mechs
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
3D Platformer; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade, Character Customization
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 3D, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 1,052 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $630, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $900k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
MOBILE SUIT GUNDAM SEED BATTLE DESTINY REMASTERED $39.99 757 77% 23k $908k (exactly $908,173) Bandai Namco Forge Digitals Inc.
Stonefly older $16.99 116 88% 3.5k $59k (exactly $59,125) Flight School Studio
Dosa Divas $19.99 56 94% 1.7k $34k (exactly $33,583) Outerloop Games
DriveCrazy $10.99 73 94% 2.2k $24k (exactly $24,068) TubezGames
CODE:VALKYRIE II older $19.99 39 74% 1.2k $23k (exactly $23,388) Ulimworks
AI-deal-Rays [General Edition] $5.99 112 58% 3.4k $20k (exactly $20,126) Riez-ON
Angry Penguin older $1.99 328 92% 9.8k $20k (exactly $19,582) PAIN PEPPER
Japanese Rail Sim: Operating the MEITETSU Line older $8.99 63 61% 1.9k $17k (exactly $16,991) Sonic Powered Co.,Ltd.
FZ: Formation Z $29.99 16 87% 480 $14k (exactly $14,395) Granzella Inc.
Forklift Load older $2.99 130 83% 3.9k $12k (exactly $11,661) KIMIDORI SOFT
WARHEAD CIRCUS(ウォーヘッド サーカス) $8.99 10 70% 300 $2.7k (exactly $2,697) Dig Up Indie
Botanical Chronicle $5.99 10 100% 300 $1.8k (exactly $1,797) Metapolis Games
Laserade: Sugar Rush $7.99 4 100% 120 $959 (exactly $959) Design Boy
Virus Hunter $1.99 11 81% 330 $657 (exactly $657) Matsusoft
Soul•Last Bastion $6.99 3 0% 90 $629 (exactly $629) 卜乙冈(Ploygon)

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.