Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Martial Arts

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Martial-Arts 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Martial Arts

Only 18 developers shipped a Martial-Arts 3D Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Empire City, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $78k, ×125 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 31 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 31 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Martial Arts
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $63k → $1.3k → $4.1k → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Martial Arts: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 25% $3.0k (exactly $2,997)
Top 5% $79k (exactly $78,718)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 57
Announced 31
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Martial Arts
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
3D Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Combat, Action-Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cartoon, Difficult
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 67% positive over 452 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $2.9k, 1 in 20 over $78k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mirror's Edge™ Catalyst older $19.99 14,078 79% 422k $8.4M (exactly $8,442,577) DICE
Fight Angel Special Edition older $19.99 1,776 75% 53k $1.1M (exactly $1,065,067) Red Fox
The Forgotten Concluder older $24.99 894 74% 27k $670k (exactly $670,232) Kunpo Games
Sword and Fairy 3 older $7.99 1,936 84% 58k $464k (exactly $464,059) SOFTSTAR TECHNOLOGY(SHANGHAI)
BAKERU older $39.99 379 94% 11k $455k (exactly $454,686) Good-Feel Co., Ltd.
下一站江湖Ⅰ older $19.99 581 72% 17k $348k (exactly $348,426) 白玉京工作室
Legend of Kay Anniversary older $19.99 268 70% 8.0k $161k (exactly $160,720) KAIKO, Neon Studios
Sword and Fairy 3 Ex older $7.99 524 82% 16k $126k (exactly $125,603) SOFTSTAR TECHNOLOGY(SHANGHAI)
Sword and Fairy 4 older $12.99 245 77% 7.4k $95k (exactly $95,476) SOFTSTAR TECHNOLOGY(SHANGHAI)
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Empire City $24.99 105 76% 3.2k $79k (exactly $78,718) Cortopia Studios
Twelves:Shadow $12.99 154 35% 4.6k $60k (exactly $60,014) JuLu Studio
Taiwan Coolfox $24.99 57 78% 1.7k $43k (exactly $42,733) TSAI,JIE-TING 蔡杰廷, TSAI,KAI-SHIUN 蔡凱勛
Kick'n Hell $7.99 17 100% 510 $4.1k (exactly $4,075) Fire Foot Studios
Renxia $9.99 10 60% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) IcarusStudio
The Jiang Shi 2 :Curse of Soul $0.99 78 94% 2.3k $2.3k (exactly $2,317) 谭浩翔
Wukong Fight in Kaoria $8.99 6 100% 180 $1.6k (exactly $1,618) 圣工作室
Ultimate Soccer $2.99 15 73% 450 $1.3k (exactly $1,346) Grands
BLOKES on BLOCKS! $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) CRAFTS & MEISTER Co., Ltd.
Nobu Jump $1.99 6 100% 180 $358 (exactly $358) であるりん

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.