Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 3D Platformer Management game?

3D Platformer + Management

Of 48 developers who shipped a 3D Platformer Management game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 59 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450 in the last 2 years and $420 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 20 developers shipped in the last year and 59 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 485% on the market, 59 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 48
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.9k → $418 → $300 → $449 → $1.3k → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 48
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $6.2k (exactly $6,203)
Top 5% $26k (exactly $26,127)
Developers, 2 yr 48
Released games 99
Announced 59
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 485% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Management
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Management; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Economy, Immersive Sim
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 68% positive over 625 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $450, 1 in 4 over $6.2k, 1 in 20 over $26k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 34 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 59 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Made in Abyss: Binary Star Falling into Darkness older $59.99 2,650 79% 80k $4.8M (exactly $4,769,205) Chime Corporation
KAMiBAKO - Mythology of Cube - $29.99 37 64% 1.1k $33k (exactly $33,289) GRAVITY GAME ARISE
Casino Island Simulator · EA $8.99 120 61% 3.6k $32k (exactly $32,364) Clap Games
HAM: The Game $7.99 109 69% 3.3k $26k (exactly $26,127) Little Bird Studios
Laundry & Supermarket Simulator $9.99 86 77% 2.6k $26k (exactly $25,774) SmartPlayGames
Magical Bakery $14.99 57 77% 1.7k $26k (exactly $25,633) SUPERLUMEN
Fun Park Simulator · EA $12.99 63 58% 1.9k $25k (exactly $24,551) Flugames
汽车帝国 · EA older $9.99 79 46% 2.4k $24k (exactly $23,676) Shanghai huan zhen Info Tech Ltd
Tech Market Simulator $9.99 68 60% 2.0k $20k (exactly $20,380) Clap Games
3D PrintMaster Simulator Printer older $9.99 65 38% 2.0k $19k (exactly $19,480) SimuVerse Studios
It's On The Mouse $11.99 43 81% 1.3k $15k (exactly $15,467) XryEcho
Farm Supply Simulator 25 · EA $11.99 26 84% 780 $9.4k (exactly $9,352) Superwolf Game Studio, Lycan Arts
Designated Driver Simulator · EA $17.99 16 62% 480 $8.6k (exactly $8,635) PostSIM

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.