Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Magic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Magic 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Magic

Of 113 developers who shipped a Magic 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 231 more are announced, ×4.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $310k, ×494 the market median. Revenue is up 140% on the market; 231 games are announced against 53 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 140% on the market, 231 announced, ×4.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Magic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 113
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $179 → $1.2k → $269 → $2.7k → $420 → $899 → $899 (still earning) → $479 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Magic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 113
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $6.5k (exactly $6,472)
Top 5% $310k (exactly $310,396)
Developers, 2 yr 113
Released games 352
Announced 231
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 140% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 27%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Magic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Action-Adventure
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Story Rich, Family Friendly
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 11,803 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $600, 1 in 4 over $6.4k, 1 in 20 over $310k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 77 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 231 games are announced against 53 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
FINAL FANTASY VII REMAKE INTERGRADE older $39.99 43,473 87% 1.3M $52M (exactly $52,154,558) Square Enix
Kena: Bridge of Spirits older $39.99 16,701 91% 501k $20M (exactly $20,036,190) Ember Lab
CRISIS CORE –FINAL FANTASY VII– REUNION older $49.99 6,949 89% 208k $10M (exactly $10,421,415) Square Enix, TOSE CO., LTD.
South of Midnight $39.99 4,382 94% 131k $5.3M (exactly $5,257,085) Compulsion Games
Trine 3: The Artifacts of Power older $21.99 7,301 63% 219k $4.8M (exactly $4,816,470) Frozenbyte
LEGO® Harry Potter: Years 1-4 older $19.99 6,458 85% 194k $3.9M (exactly $3,872,863) TT Games
Pseudoregalia older $5.99 16,978 96% 509k $3.1M (exactly $3,050,947) rittzler
Valley older $14.99 6,276 91% 188k $2.8M (exactly $2,822,317) Blue Isle Studios
Legacy of Kain™ Soul Reaver 1&2 Remastered $29.99 3,042 90% 91k $2.7M (exactly $2,736,887) Aspyr, Crystal Dynamics
LEGO® Harry Potter™ Collection $39.99 1,464 82% 44k $1.8M (exactly $1,756,361) TT Games, Double Eleven
Disney Epic Mickey: Rebrushed $39.99 1,275 93% 38k $1.5M (exactly $1,529,618) Purple Lamp
Kristala $39.99 485 71% 15k $582k (exactly $581,854) Astral Clocktower Studios
Nikoderiko: The Magical World — Director’s Cut $29.99 345 82% 10k $310k (exactly $310,396) VEA Games
The Smurfs – Dreams $29.99 174 92% 5.2k $157k (exactly $156,548) Ocellus Studio
PsiloSybil $12.99 232 85% 7.0k $90k (exactly $90,410) bad_vertex
Night Stones $9.99 259 93% 7.8k $78k (exactly $77,622) Advance Nine
Sex Wishes 🔮 $14.99 145 68% 4.4k $65k (exactly $65,206) Dirty Adventures 🖤

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.