Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Loot

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Loot 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Loot

Of 32 developers who shipped a Loot 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 46 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480 in the last 2 years and $480 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 18 developers shipped in the last year and 46 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 20% on the market, 46 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Loot
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 32
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $3.4k → $1.2k → $2.3k → $479 → $539 → $4.5k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Loot: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 32
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $4.5k (exactly $4,498)
Top 5% $108k (exactly $107,557)
Developers, 2 yr 32
Released games 81
Announced 46
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Loot
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Loot; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action-Adventure, Action, Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 1,520 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $480, 1 in 4 over $4.4k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 9 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 46 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
轮回修仙路 older $16.99 2,945 82% 88k $1.5M (exactly $1,501,066) 烟水寒工作室
PIT OF GOBLIN · EA $5.99 915 84% 27k $164k (exactly $164,426) Friendly Foe
Goonya Monster older $19.99 185 76% 5.6k $111k (exactly $110,944) MUTAN
Cultivation Magic World · EA $12.99 276 78% 8.3k $108k (exactly $107,557) DMG Studio
Shirone: the Dragon Girl older $14.99 117 99% 3.5k $53k (exactly $52,615) Oimoland
XiuzhenWorld2 $12.99 134 67% 4.0k $52k (exactly $52,220) Noforgetit
Arms Evolution: ZOMBIE DESTROYER older $5.99 268 64% 8.0k $48k (exactly $48,160) Ash Game Studio
Juro Janosik older $10.99 82 95% 2.5k $27k (exactly $27,035) Peter Jurkovsky
Ichima-san older $10.99 61 100% 1.8k $20k (exactly $20,112) sewohayami
Mars Rover Simulator older $19.99 24 25% 720 $14k (exactly $14,393) DexterCoding
古咒迷途 (lost curse) $3.99 68 95% 2.0k $8.1k (exactly $8,140) 拙画翁
The Worries of Santa Clauses $7.99 27 100% 810 $6.5k (exactly $6,472) riinwin
Fruitimo! $5.99 35 91% 1.1k $6.3k (exactly $6,290) PLANETA
Isekai Mage Girl Gacha Pull Simulator: Elemental Card Collection $6.99 27 74% 810 $5.7k (exactly $5,662) Violet Soft
run for money Hunter vs. Runner! Which side will you win!? $29.99 5 80% 150 $4.5k (exactly $4,498) INFINITY Co., Ltd.
CODE:VALKYRIE III $19.99 6 66% 180 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) Ulimworks
Garden Hunt $3.99 27 100% 810 $3.2k (exactly $3,232) CREA CLAN, カミエナ / KamiEna

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.