Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Platformer › 3D Platformer + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Logic

Of 118 developers who shipped a Logic 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 134 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 62 developers shipped in the last year and 134 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 134 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 118
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.1k → $599 → $898 → $359 → $657 → $269 → $119 (still earning) → $90 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 118
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $1.9k (exactly $1,946)
Top 5% $43k (exactly $43,164)
Developers, 2 yr 118
Released games 357
Announced 134
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Logic; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle Platformer, Puzzle, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 1,671 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $240, 1 in 4 over $1.9k, 1 in 20 over $43k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. Nearly all of the 66 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 134 games are announced against 62 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

The Talos Principle 2 2023 · $11M Hello Neighbor: Hide and Seek 2019 · $1.1M THE 4 SINS 2024 · $1.0M SOS OPS! 2023 · $599k Schrodinger's Cat Burglar 2026 · $368k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Talos Principle 2 older $29.99 12,478 94% 374k $11M (exactly $11,226,457) Croteam
Hello Neighbor: Hide and Seek older $29.99 1,217 87% 37k $1.1M (exactly $1,094,935) Dynamic Pixels
THE 4 SINS older $9.99 3,377 23% 101k $1.0M (exactly $1,012,087) 奇门互娱
SOS OPS! older $4.99 4,000 83% 120k $599k (exactly $598,800) ArtDock
Schrodinger's Cat Burglar $19.99 613 97% 18k $368k (exactly $367,616) Abandoned Sheep
Haydee 3 $29.99 321 84% 9.6k $289k (exactly $288,804) Haydee Interactive
The Ball older $9.99 830 74% 25k $249k (exactly $248,751) Teotl Studios
Hourglass older $19.99 331 88% 9.9k $199k (exactly $198,501) Cyberwave
Time on Frog Island older $19.99 284 71% 8.5k $170k (exactly $170,315) Half Past Yellow
ChromaGun older $12.99 303 76% 9.1k $118k (exactly $118,079) Pixel Maniacs
Gloomy Eyes $24.99 155 94% 4.7k $116k (exactly $116,204) Atlas V, Be Revolution Gaming, 3Dar, Fi… (Atlas V, Be Revolution Gaming, 3Dar, Fishing Cactus, ARTE France)
The Art of Reflection $17.99 151 97% 4.5k $81k (exactly $81,495) Hydrozoa
He Who Watches $19.99 109 96% 3.3k $65k (exactly $65,367) Bobby Vanden
Axyz $11.99 120 99% 3.6k $43k (exactly $43,164) Space Lion Studios
Dice Tavern: Farkle Roguelike $9.99 112 90% 3.4k $34k (exactly $33,566) Cavi Studio
Fritz Chess 20 Steam Edition $54.99 15 46% 450 $25k (exactly $24,746) ChessBase GmbH
Rollick N' Roll $9.99 46 93% 1.4k $14k (exactly $13,786) Crayonix Games
Puzzle Parasite $14.99 29 93% 870 $13k (exactly $13,041) Wrenfall

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.