Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Platformer › 3D Platformer + Local Multiplayer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Multiplayer 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Local Multiplayer

Of 79 developers who shipped a Local Multiplayer 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 119 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.5k, ×3.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $720k, ×1149 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 119 games are announced against 47 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 119 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Local Multiplayer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 79
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $897 → $959 → $2.7k → $2.4k → $4.0k → $300 (still earning) → $450 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Local Multiplayer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 79
Bottom 30% $240 (exactly $240)
Median $2.5k (exactly $2,470)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $11,078)
Top 5% $722k (exactly $721,579)
Developers, 2 yr 79
Released games 287
Announced 119
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Local Multiplayer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Local Co-Op, Co-op, Adventure
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $27.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Family Friendly, Colorful, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $27.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 96% positive over 86,073 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $2.5k, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $720k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 55 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 119 games are announced against 47 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

It Takes Two 2021 · $262M Split Fiction 2025 · $118M Human Fall Flat 2016 · $105M Sonic Adventure 2 2012 · $7.1M Sackboy™: A Big Adventure 2022 · $5.1M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
It Takes Two older $39.99 218,492 95% 6.6M $262M (exactly $262,124,852) Hazelight Studios
Split Fiction $49.99 78,378 97% 2.4M $118M (exactly $117,543,487) Hazelight Studios
Human Fall Flat older $19.99 174,835 94% 5.2M $105M (exactly $104,848,549) No Brakes Games
Sonic Adventure 2 older $9.99 23,755 90% 713k $7.1M (exactly $7,119,374) SEGA
Sackboy™: A Big Adventure older $59.99 2,822 83% 85k $5.1M (exactly $5,078,753) Sumo Digital
LEGO® Harry Potter: Years 1-4 older $19.99 6,458 85% 194k $3.9M (exactly $3,872,863) TT Games
LEGO® Harry Potter™ Collection $39.99 1,464 82% 44k $1.8M (exactly $1,756,361) TT Games, Double Eleven
Sonic Colors: Ultimate older $39.99 1,377 68% 41k $1.7M (exactly $1,651,987) Blind Squirrel Entertainment
LEGO® Voyagers $24.99 1,859 88% 56k $1.4M (exactly $1,393,692) Light Brick Studio
KeyWe older $24.99 1,804 91% 54k $1.4M (exactly $1,352,459) Stonewheat & Sons
Onirism $17.99 1,337 82% 40k $722k (exactly $721,579) Crimson Tales
PAC-MAN WORLD 2 Re-PAC $29.99 694 90% 21k $624k (exactly $624,392) NOW PRODUCTION Co., Ltd.
WheelMates $19.99 496 75% 15k $297k (exactly $297,451) Firevolt
Paddle Paddle Paddle $4.99 1,584 86% 48k $237k (exactly $237,125) Zoroarts
Moorhuhn Kart 4 $19.99 90 86% 2.7k $54k (exactly $53,973) Korion Interactive
UNDER DEFEAT $19.99 81 95% 2.4k $49k (exactly $48,576) CITY CONNECTION, TAKE×0FF
Teeto $17.99 90 94% 2.7k $49k (exactly $48,573) Eat Pant Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.