Do I ship it?

Games › JRPG › JRPG + 3D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 3D Platformer JRPG?

JRPG + 3D Platformer

Of 26 developers who shipped a 3D Platformer JRPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 48 more are announced, ×5.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $8.1k, ×13 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $210k, ×347 the market median. Revenue is up 2935% on the market; 48 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 13.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 2935% on the market, 48 announced, ×5.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
JRPG + 3D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 26
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $449 → $597 → $1.9k → $10k → $34k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for JRPG + 3D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 26
Bottom 30% $899 (exactly $899)
Median $8.1k (exactly $8,140)
Top 25% $33k (exactly $33,289)
Top 5% $218k (exactly $217,764)
Developers, 2 yr 26
Released games 87
Announced 48
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2935% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

JRPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
JRPG, 3D Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Exploration, Interactive Fiction
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $54.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Story Rich, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $54.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 1,311 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $8.1k, 1 in 4 over $33k, 1 in 20 over $210k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 8 in 10 of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 48 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

JRPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds12 devs · median $54k · 6 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds43 devs · median $21k · 23 announced
  3. + NinjaFair7 devs · median $19k · 10 announced
  4. + RomanceFair153 devs · median $13k · 164 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair219 devs · median $13k · 265 announced
  6. + ManagementFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  7. + Souls-likeFair31 devs · median $8.6k · 35 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair41 devs · median $8.4k · 45 announced
  9. + LootFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  10. + RoguelikeFair85 devs · median $5.2k · 103 announced
  11. + 2D PlatformerFair150 devs · median $4.2k · 157 announced
  12. + Artificial IntelligenceFair25 devs · median $4.0k · 21 announced

All 142 pairs on the JRPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

FINAL FANTASY VII REMAKE INTERGRADE 2022 · $52M Persona® 5 Strikers 2021 · $23M CRISIS CORE –FINAL FANTASY VII– REUNION 2022 · $10M SAMURAI MAIDEN 2022 · $1.2M KYOTO XANADU -the Blooming Phantom- 2026 · $665k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
FINAL FANTASY VII REMAKE INTERGRADE older $39.99 43,473 87% 1.3M $52M (exactly $52,154,558) Square Enix
Persona® 5 Strikers older $59.99 12,864 88% 386k $23M (exactly $23,151,341) ATLUS
CRISIS CORE –FINAL FANTASY VII– REUNION older $49.99 6,949 89% 208k $10M (exactly $10,421,415) Square Enix, TOSE CO., LTD.
SAMURAI MAIDEN older $59.99 648 60% 19k $1.2M (exactly $1,166,206) SHADE Inc.
KYOTO XANADU -the Blooming Phantom- $54.99 403 78% 12k $665k (exactly $664,829) Nihon Falcom
Märchen Forest older $34.99 382 79% 11k $401k (exactly $400,985) PrimaryOrbit
VARLET $59.99 121 47% 3.6k $218k (exactly $217,764) FURYU CORPORATION
Gurumin: A Monstrous Adventure older $9.99 692 91% 21k $207k (exactly $207,392) Nihon Falcom, Mastiff
Demon Sword: Incubus older $19.99 184 76% 5.5k $110k (exactly $110,345) Brianode
The Remake of the End of the Greatest RPG of All Time $17.99 146 86% 4.4k $79k (exactly $78,796) Coin Drop Games, Lucas Immanuel, jucobe… (Coin Drop Games, Lucas Immanuel, jucobee, Kyle Chuang)
Love Mansion $10.99 184 88% 5.5k $61k (exactly $60,665) Tsunmayo
PROGRESS ORDERS $19.99 77 36% 2.3k $46k (exactly $46,177) HAKAMA Inc.
Dosa Divas $19.99 56 94% 1.7k $34k (exactly $33,583) Outerloop Games
KAMiBAKO - Mythology of Cube - $29.99 37 64% 1.1k $33k (exactly $33,289) GRAVITY GAME ARISE
VanySlash $17.99 61 86% 1.8k $33k (exactly $32,922) Atelier Delion
StarArc Echo $5.99 149 66% 4.5k $27k (exactly $26,775) 兔狐喵菇工作室
DungeonCrawlers $8.99 77 68% 2.3k $21k (exactly $20,767) KusanohitoCreative

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.