Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Platformer › 3D Platformer + Incremental

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Incremental 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Incremental

Of 33 developers who shipped an Incremental 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $210 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 21 developers shipped in the last year and 17 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 17 announced, ×0.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Incremental
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 33
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $718 → $807 → $4.1k → $629 → $358 → $540 → $90 (still earning) → $89 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Incremental: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 33
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $210 (exactly $210)
Top 25% $629 (exactly $629)
Top 5% $2.8k (exactly $2,844)
Developers, 2 yr 33
Released games 114
Announced 17
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Incremental
effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Incremental; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Point & Click, Hidden Object
Price point
$3.00 typical · top 25% priced $7.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Relaxing, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $7.99 or above; the middle game at $3.00.

The top 10 games average 66% positive over 163 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $210, 1 in 4 over $620, 1 in 20 over $2.8k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. All of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Moncage 2021 · $2.3M Music Racer 2018 · $199k Love challenge 2024 · $122k Fun Park Simulator 2026 · EA · $25k J15 Jet Fighter VR (歼15舰载机) 2018 · EA · $13k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Moncage older $14.99 5,127 92% 154k $2.3M (exactly $2,305,612) Optillusion
Music Racer older $1.99 3,332 87% 100k $199k (exactly $198,920) AbstractArt
Love challenge older $12.99 312 75% 9.4k $122k (exactly $121,586) 雪山雞白郎, SnowGBL
Fun Park Simulator · EA $12.99 63 58% 1.9k $25k (exactly $24,551) Flugames
J15 Jet Fighter VR (歼15舰载机) · EA older $9.99 44 47% 1.3k $13k (exactly $13,187) Magicvalley Studio
DREAM TIME older $7.99 23 100% 690 $5.5k (exactly $5,513) AI mainland Game studio
Cyberside Picnic older $2.99 58 94% 1.7k $5.2k (exactly $5,203) Michael Luo
Meeting Her · EA older $6.99 21 66% 630 $4.4k (exactly $4,404) verde games
Tree Bonsai older $0.99 145 80% 4.4k $4.3k (exactly $4,306) PanGuoJun
Poop Spotter ~ The game to improve the quality of poop~ older $2.99 46 95% 1.4k $4.1k (exactly $4,126) EXO Games
Where wh..? $4.99 19 78% 570 $2.8k (exactly $2,844) Pita Game
Bottomless Pit Supervisor $4.99 17 58% 510 $2.5k (exactly $2,545) sudo make
Strong Crab $5.99 11 81% 330 $2.0k (exactly $1,977) Kayla.Z
Phantom Playhouse $7.99 8 62% 240 $1.9k (exactly $1,918) Kakytron
Hentai Merge Dice $1.99 25 80% 750 $1.5k (exactly $1,492) theNeko
Ultimate Janitor Simulator $9.99 4 0% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Kian Productions
Idle Animal Plaza · EA $3.99 9 100% 270 $1.1k (exactly $1,077) HONG KONG YUEDONG NETWORK TECHNOLOGY CO… (HONG KONG YUEDONG NETWORK TECHNOLOGY CO.,LIMITED)
Hidden Oddities $6.99 3 66% 90 $629 (exactly $629) Wandering Shack
Duty Free Shop Simulator · EA $4.99 4 25% 120 $599 (exactly $599) CLOWN MAGIC

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.