Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Idler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Idler 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Idler

Of 35 developers who shipped an Idler 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $240 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 18 developers shipped in the last year and 24 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 255% on the market, 24 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Idler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 35
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $239 → $119 → $1.1k → $148 → $959 → $119 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Idler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 35
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $302 (exactly $302)
Top 25% $2.0k (exactly $2,035)
Top 5% $108k (exactly $107,557)
Developers, 2 yr 35
Released games 97
Announced 24
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.35

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 255% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Idler
effort 1 / 10 · high · number growth curves and a UI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Idler; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Automation, Simulation, Adventure
Price point
$3.35 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $3.35.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 1,012 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $300, 1 in 4 over $2.0k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Haydee 3 $29.99 321 84% 9.6k $289k (exactly $288,804) Haydee Interactive
Cultivation Magic World · EA $12.99 276 78% 8.3k $108k (exactly $107,557) DMG Studio
A guard walks into a tavern older $7.99 415 83% 12k $99k (exactly $99,476) SuQing
XiuzhenWorld2 $12.99 134 67% 4.0k $52k (exactly $52,220) Noforgetit
Fun Park Simulator · EA $12.99 63 58% 1.9k $25k (exactly $24,551) Flugames
Mars Rover Simulator older $19.99 24 25% 720 $14k (exactly $14,393) DexterCoding
Bottle Can Float $3.99 91 89% 2.7k $11k (exactly $10,893) Kayla.Z
Farm Supply Simulator 25 · EA $11.99 26 84% 780 $9.4k (exactly $9,352) Superwolf Game Studio, Lycan Arts
RUNNER RTX older $24.99 12 91% 360 $9.0k (exactly $8,996) Piece Of Voxel
Dungeon Warriors · EA older $5.99 25 52% 750 $4.5k (exactly $4,492) FireStone Studio
Hardcore and Death $1.99 64 84% 1.9k $3.8k (exactly $3,821) ZERO5GAMES
Bottomless Pit Supervisor $4.99 17 58% 510 $2.5k (exactly $2,545) sudo make
Forest Factory Simulator $3.99 17 41% 510 $2.0k (exactly $2,035) Samle Indie Studio
Only Straight and Up! $19.99 3 33% 90 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) AF Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.