Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Horror 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Horror

Of 302 developers who shipped a Horror 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 327 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $160k, ×262 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 327 games are announced against 153 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 327 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 302
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $899 → $2.4k → $1.9k → $1.5k → $1.0k → $1.3k → $479 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 302
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $5.2k (exactly $5,240)
Top 5% $164k (exactly $164,426)
Developers, 2 yr 302
Released games 727
Announced 327
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Horror
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Exploration
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 29,625 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $600, 1 in 4 over $5.2k, 1 in 20 over $160k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 193 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 327 games are announced against 153 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gorilla Tag older $19.99 52,637 93% 1.6M $32M (exactly $31,566,409) Another Axiom Inc.
Hello Neighbor older $29.99 26,329 87% 790k $24M (exactly $23,688,201) Dynamic Pixels
Alice: Madness Returns older $9.99 27,795 90% 834k $8.3M (exactly $8,330,162) Spicy Horse Games
White Knuckle · EA $16.99 13,356 98% 401k $6.8M (exactly $6,807,553) Dark Machine Games
Bramble: The Mountain King older $29.99 6,512 94% 195k $5.9M (exactly $5,858,846) Dimfrost Studio
In Sound Mind older $34.99 5,467 95% 164k $5.7M (exactly $5,738,710) We Create Stuff
FATAL FRAME II: Crimson Butterfly REMAKE $49.99 2,663 87% 80k $4.0M (exactly $3,993,701) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Valley older $14.99 6,276 91% 188k $2.8M (exactly $2,822,317) Blue Isle Studios
Soulstice older $39.99 1,845 76% 55k $2.2M (exactly $2,213,446) Reply Game Studios
Ben and Ed older $9.99 4,592 82% 138k $1.4M (exactly $1,376,222) Sluggerfly
The Break-In $19.99 2,040 87% 61k $1.2M (exactly $1,223,388) jorgen games Ltd, Oliver Josh
Lorn's Lure $14.99 2,654 86% 80k $1.2M (exactly $1,193,504) Rubeki Games
Finding Frankie $14.99 1,886 90% 57k $848k (exactly $848,134) SUPERLOU
近畿霊務局 - Kinki Spiritual Affairs Bureau $9.99 2,780 92% 83k $833k (exactly $833,166) Noto Muteki
Luna Abyss $29.99 923 86% 28k $830k (exactly $830,423) Kwalee Labs
Twisted Tower $14.99 1,827 93% 55k $822k (exactly $821,602) Atmos Games
Animal Company · EA $19.99 749 86% 22k $449k (exactly $449,175) Wooster Games
Egging On $14.99 747 74% 22k $336k (exactly $335,926) Egobounds

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.