Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Hidden Object

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Hidden Object 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Hidden Object

Of 160 developers who shipped a Hidden Object 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 147 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 84 developers shipped in the last year and 147 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 147 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Hidden Object
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 160
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $748 → $718 → $628 → $270 → $359 → $240 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Hidden Object: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 160
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $297 (exactly $297)
Top 25% $2.1k (exactly $2,097)
Top 5% $16k (exactly $16,018)
Developers, 2 yr 160
Released games 455
Announced 147
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Hidden Object
effort 2 / 10 · high · static scenes with click targets

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Hidden Object; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Puzzle
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 1,207 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $300, 1 in 4 over $2.0k, 1 in 20 over $16k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. Nearly all of the 108 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 147 games are announced against 84 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
In Sound Mind older $34.99 5,467 95% 164k $5.7M (exactly $5,738,710) We Create Stuff
TASOMACHI: Behind the Twilight older $19.99 529 75% 16k $317k (exactly $317,241) Orbital Express
Tiny Lands older $6.99 870 92% 26k $182k (exactly $182,439) Hyper Three Studio
GOHOME older $14.99 328 85% 9.8k $148k (exactly $147,502) 市松製化, https://1ma2szk.booth.pm/
Goonya Monster older $19.99 185 76% 5.6k $111k (exactly $110,944) MUTAN
Broken Sword 4 - the Angel of Death (2006) older $5.99 456 43% 14k $82k (exactly $81,943) Sumo Digital Ltd
The Remake of the End of the Greatest RPG of All Time $17.99 146 86% 4.4k $79k (exactly $78,796) Coin Drop Games, Lucas Immanuel, jucobe… (Coin Drop Games, Lucas Immanuel, jucobee, Kyle Chuang)
Beside Myself older $6.99 318 66% 9.5k $67k (exactly $66,685) ASK GAMES
Please, Forgive Me older $6.99 264 65% 7.9k $55k (exactly $55,361) REVVALUTION Studio
Paws and Soul older $11.99 122 52% 3.7k $44k (exactly $43,883) ELECTROSTALIN ENTERTAINMENT
Playing House $6.99 197 94% 5.9k $41k (exactly $41,311) 鬱薔薇檸檬(UtubaraLemon)
Tiny Lands 2 $9.99 126 94% 3.8k $38k (exactly $37,762) Hyper Three Studio
OUTCLAW $24.99 44 93% 1.3k $33k (exactly $32,987) Moss Monkey
Evil Holiday $4.99 208 80% 6.2k $31k (exactly $31,138) REVVALUTION Studio
DungeonCrawlers $8.99 77 68% 2.3k $21k (exactly $20,767) KusanohitoCreative
holo8 $3.99 165 90% 5.0k $20k (exactly $19,750) frog blend
Lonely Christmas $4.99 107 66% 3.2k $16k (exactly $16,018) ASK GAMES
Platform $9.99 46 73% 1.4k $14k (exactly $13,786) METAGAR
Bottle Can Float $3.99 91 89% 2.7k $11k (exactly $10,893) Kayla.Z

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.