Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Grid-Based Movement

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Grid-Based Movement 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Grid-Based Movement

Only 14 developers shipped a Grid-Based Movement 3D Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Axyz, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.5k against a market of $630. 9 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 9 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Grid-Based Movement
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $59 → $3.6k → $120 → $30 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Grid-Based Movement: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,492)
Top 25% $2.7k (exactly $2,695)
Top 5% $43k (exactly $43,164)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 36
Announced 9
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 60% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Grid-Based Movement
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Grid-Based Movement
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 236 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $2.6k, 1 in 20 over $43k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 9 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Last Cube older $19.99 129 96% 3.9k $77k (exactly $77,361) Improx Games
Axyz $11.99 120 99% 3.6k $43k (exactly $43,164) Space Lion Studios
About Love, Hate And The Other Ones 2 older $10.99 40 92% 1.2k $13k (exactly $13,188) Black Pants Studio, Tobias Bilgeri
Heroic Aegisio: Origins $7.99 27 77% 810 $6.5k (exactly $6,472) Vview Games
One Hundred Ways older $7.99 18 44% 540 $4.3k (exactly $4,315) Sunlight Games
Mirage: Ignis Fatuus $16.99 7 85% 210 $3.6k (exactly $3,568) Illam
Fable of Sand Paws older $10.99 9 88% 270 $3.0k (exactly $2,967) Arthur Iung Dias
Lefty $4.99 18 94% 540 $2.7k (exactly $2,695) Light Studio | نقش الضوء
babe-lathe $6.99 11 100% 330 $2.3k (exactly $2,307) tjern
Blooby Block older $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Basement Fun Games
Tetro Runner $9.99 5 100% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Rollmop Games Studio
Hentai Merge Dice $1.99 25 80% 750 $1.5k (exactly $1,492) theNeko
Ratico Puzzle Adventure $1.99 11 90% 330 $657 (exactly $657) Navarro PIM Ltd.
O.W.L Projekt 2 $1.99 11 81% 330 $657 (exactly $657) Sagitta Studios
Warp Dash $3.99 1 0% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Adweb

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.