Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Platformer › 3D Platformer + Gothic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gothic 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Gothic

Of 23 developers who shipped a Gothic 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $34k, ×55 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 29 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 29 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Gothic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $1.4k → $1.6k → $1.4k → $200 (still earning) → $3.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Gothic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,194)
Top 25% $3.0k (exactly $2,997)
Top 5% $34k (exactly $34,354)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 45
Announced 29
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Gothic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Action-Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Stylized, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 535 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $2.9k, 1 in 20 over $34k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Alice: Madness Returns 2011 · $8.3M Woolfe - The Red Hood Diaries 2015 · $296k Gloomy Eyes 2025 · $116k Shirone: the Dragon Girl 2022 · $53k THE CANON OF BALLS 2026 · $34k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Alice: Madness Returns older $9.99 27,795 90% 834k $8.3M (exactly $8,330,162) Spicy Horse Games
Woolfe - The Red Hood Diaries older $9.99 987 59% 30k $296k (exactly $295,804) GRIN
Gloomy Eyes $24.99 155 94% 4.7k $116k (exactly $116,204) Atlas V, Be Revolution Gaming, 3Dar, Fi… (Atlas V, Be Revolution Gaming, 3Dar, Fishing Cactus, ARTE France)
Shirone: the Dragon Girl older $14.99 117 99% 3.5k $53k (exactly $52,615) Oimoland
THE CANON OF BALLS $3.99 287 98% 8.6k $34k (exactly $34,354) Helios Monk
Hotel Transylvania: Scary-Tale Adventures older $39.99 24 83% 720 $29k (exactly $28,793) Drakhar Studios
The Dark Heart of Balor $14.99 18 72% 540 $8.1k (exactly $8,095) Game Artists, LLC
No More Snow older $4.99 47 89% 1.4k $7.0k (exactly $7,036) Barzda
THE ILLUSION: CURSE older $19.99 9 55% 270 $5.4k (exactly $5,397) Raven Games
Zorro and Zedd $7.99 14 71% 420 $3.4k (exactly $3,356) Cloud Control Games
Dark Erosion: Endless Siege $6.99 15 80% 450 $3.1k (exactly $3,146) LaoLiang
Slay The Berserker · EA $9.99 10 50% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Advance Garde
Money Theft $4.99 13 76% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Valkeala Software, Tero Lunkka
Mental Hellacious $13.99 4 50% 120 $1.7k (exactly $1,679) MoreNEWttoStudio
POLE VAULT $3.99 13 84% 390 $1.6k (exactly $1,556) Mike Jensen, Brian May, Tyler Walters
GAYA - The Mystery $8.00 6 100% 180 $1.4k (exactly $1,440) Dunamis

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.