Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Platformer › 3D Platformer + Futuristic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Futuristic 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Futuristic

Of 143 developers who shipped a Futuristic 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 255 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 70 developers shipped in the last year and 255 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 255 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Futuristic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 143
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $180 → $238 → $599 → $299 → $898 → $718 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Futuristic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 143
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $2.0k (exactly $1,973)
Top 5% $29k (exactly $28,786)
Developers, 2 yr 143
Released games 462
Announced 255
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Futuristic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Platformer
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 2,531 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.9k, 1 in 20 over $28k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 9 in 10 of the 105 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 255 games are announced against 70 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Mirror's Edge™ 2009 · $19M Bomb Rush Cyberfunk 2023 · $15M Caravan SandWitch 2024 · $2.1M Solar Ash 2022 · $1.6M Spark the Electric Jester 3 2022 · $1.4M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mirror's Edge™ older $19.99 31,195 87% 936k $19M (exactly $18,707,642) DICE
Bomb Rush Cyberfunk older $39.99 12,645 98% 379k $15M (exactly $15,170,206) Team Reptile
Caravan SandWitch older $24.99 2,797 88% 84k $2.1M (exactly $2,096,911) Studio Plane Toast
Solar Ash older $39.99 1,354 90% 41k $1.6M (exactly $1,624,394) Heart Machine
Spark the Electric Jester 3 older $24.99 1,913 96% 57k $1.4M (exactly $1,434,176) Feperd Games
Hubris older $29.99 819 74% 25k $737k (exactly $736,854) Cyborn B.V.
STAR WARS™: Bounty Hunter™ older $19.99 1,160 83% 35k $696k (exactly $695,652) Aspyr
Clone Drone in the Hyperdome $19.99 1,048 91% 31k $628k (exactly $628,486) Doborog Games
Lunistice older $4.99 1,812 95% 54k $271k (exactly $271,256) A Grumpy Fox
Wanderer: The Fragments of Fate $49.99 149 62% 4.5k $223k (exactly $223,455) Mighty Eyes
VARLET $59.99 121 47% 3.6k $218k (exactly $217,764) FURYU CORPORATION
BAIONLENJA · EA $12.99 510 97% 15k $199k (exactly $198,747) BAION
Chromatic Conundrum $4.99 365 98% 11k $55k (exactly $54,640) Digs
Liuyin's world $18.99 79 89% 2.4k $45k (exactly $45,006) kingnagame
Dosa Divas $19.99 56 94% 1.7k $34k (exactly $33,583) Outerloop Games
Tiny Treats $19.99 48 97% 1.4k $29k (exactly $28,786) Hans Woofington
Fragrance Point $8.00 113 96% 3.4k $27k (exactly $27,120) Halber Ball
Dance Eden $19.99 42 85% 1.3k $25k (exactly $25,187) DigiEden

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.