Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Fishing

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Fishing 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Fishing

Only 16 developers shipped a Fishing 3D Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Voodoo Fishin', made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.8k, ×7.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $380; 1 in 20 cleared $230k, ×382 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 24 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 24 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Fishing
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $599 → $719 → $5.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Fishing: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $372 (exactly $372)
Median $4.8k (exactly $4,798)
Top 25% $25k (exactly $25,187)
Top 5% $240k (exactly $239,760)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 31
Announced 24
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Fishing
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Fishing; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Adventure, Action-Adventure
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 1,287 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $380, median $4.8k, 1 in 4 over $25k, 1 in 20 over $230k.

3 in 10 developers made under $380. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
I Am Fish older $19.99 2,917 75% 88k $1.7M (exactly $1,749,325) Bossa Studios
Here Comes Niko! older $24.99 1,050 92% 32k $787k (exactly $787,185) Frog Vibes
Voodoo Fishin' · EA $9.99 800 81% 24k $240k (exactly $239,760) Lost Arcade
我的钓鱼世界 · EA $14.99 203 60% 6.1k $91k (exactly $91,289) 华幸
Dosa Divas $19.99 56 94% 1.7k $34k (exactly $33,583) Outerloop Games
Umami Grove $19.99 42 92% 1.3k $25k (exactly $25,187) Pomshine Games
Little Wings Deliveries $4.99 87 88% 2.6k $13k (exactly $13,024) SkyBrave, Vort Digital, Jonathan Kihlst… (SkyBrave, Vort Digital, Jonathan Kihlström, Mount West Music)
Monmusu Paradise ~Visitors~ $4.99 66 74% 2.0k $9.9k (exactly $9,880) Siluman Soft
Capri Care · EA $12.99 13 100% 390 $5.1k (exactly $5,066) Jdfskitz, Kiyoshirei, Dark_KissQ121
Man Made · EA $19.99 8 37% 240 $4.8k (exactly $4,798) Rule51
Girl Island · EA $4.99 9 66% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) Little Fish Studio
Reel it! World Fishing $12.79 3 66% 90 $1.2k (exactly $1,151) SAT-BOX

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.