Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Farming Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Farming Sim 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Farming Sim

Of 25 developers who shipped a Farming Sim 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 40 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×1.2 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $330; 1 in 20 cleared $91k, ×145 the market median. Revenue is up 1460% on the market; 40 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 1460% on the market, 40 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Farming Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.1k → $1.6k → $4.8k → $479 → $1.3k → $599 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Farming Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $330 (exactly $330)
Median $748 (exactly $748)
Top 25% $7.5k (exactly $7,492)
Top 5% $91k (exactly $91,289)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 64
Announced 40
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1460% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Farming Sim; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Immersive Sim, Life Sim, Simulation
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $27.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $27.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 6,356 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $330, median $750, 1 in 4 over $7.4k, 1 in 20 over $91k.

3 in 10 developers made under $330. 9 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 40 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Starsand Island $39.99 5,898 76% 177k $7.1M (exactly $7,075,831) Seed Sparkle Lab
Shin chan: Me and the Professor on Summer Vacation The Endless Seven-Day Journey older $29.99 455 81% 14k $409k (exactly $409,364) Neos Corporation
我的钓鱼世界 · EA $14.99 203 60% 6.1k $91k (exactly $91,289) 华幸
Duck Life 9: The Flock older $9.99 190 83% 5.7k $57k (exactly $56,943) Wix Games
Magical Bakery $14.99 57 77% 1.7k $26k (exactly $25,633) SUPERLUMEN
RippleIsland Kyle and Cal’s Restaurant $27.99 22 68% 660 $18k (exactly $18,473) SUNSOFT
Chang'an: The capital of Tang Dynasty older $9.99 58 70% 1.7k $17k (exactly $17,383) Romulus
Garbage Packer $6.99 56 82% 1.7k $12k (exactly $11,743) Trash Games Studios
Farm Supply Simulator 25 · EA $11.99 26 84% 780 $9.4k (exactly $9,352) Superwolf Game Studio, Lycan Arts
Weed Store Simulator $9.99 25 80% 750 $7.5k (exactly $7,492) Nons Games
Capri Care · EA $12.99 13 100% 390 $5.1k (exactly $5,066) Jdfskitz, Kiyoshirei, Dark_KissQ121
Man Made · EA $19.99 8 37% 240 $4.8k (exactly $4,798) Rule51
The Dandelion Endures. $2.99 48 95% 1.4k $4.3k (exactly $4,306) 無限オーリーゲームズ

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.