Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Faith

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Faith 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Faith

Only 16 developers shipped a Faith 3D Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, FATAL FRAME II: Crimson Butterfly REMAKE, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 7 developers shipped in the last year and 15 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 615% on the market, 15 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Faith
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $0 → $1.7k → $59 → $210 → $1.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Faith: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $1.7k (exactly $1,659)
Top 5% $4.0M (exactly $3,993,701)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 38
Announced 15
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 615% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Faith
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Survival Horror
Price point
$2.99 typical · top 25% priced $49.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $2.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 2,794 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $360, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $3.9M.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. All of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
FATAL FRAME II: Crimson Butterfly REMAKE $49.99 2,663 87% 80k $4.0M (exactly $3,993,701) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Touhou: Blossom Blade $5.99 47 91% 1.4k $8.4k (exactly $8,446) Ankake Spa
Touhou 3D Dungeon older $8.99 27 92% 810 $7.3k (exactly $7,282) Rabbit Tail Works
祭品的逆襲 The Counterattack of Sacrifice older $3.99 18 88% 540 $2.2k (exactly $2,155) 戴永翔(Dai Yong Xiang)
Lost Verses $4.99 13 38% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Behrmann Studios
Puke · EA older $6.99 8 50% 240 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) Skyfect Studio
Kodoku:As the Moon Mourns $7.90 7 100% 210 $1.7k (exactly $1,659) Hirasaka
Inferno older $6.99 7 100% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,468) Blue Vertex
Parapsychology · EA older $3.99 12 41% 360 $1.4k (exactly $1,436) Batuhan Necati Keleş
John Christian 3.0 older $1.99 20 85% 600 $1.2k (exactly $1,194) Carlos Martins - Blue Crab
卜卦 / Divination $0.99 40 85% 1.2k $1.2k (exactly $1,188) Honglizi
Vribyss Refuge™ Metamorphosis $1.99 12 100% 360 $716 (exactly $716) Ernesto Aragon
KUZGUN $2.99 7 100% 210 $628 (exactly $628) DAM Games
Harvester Arno $3.99 3 66% 90 $359 (exactly $359) LAL
Blind Trust: The City $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) Bytelyft
poo poo war $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) 张程

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.