Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Economy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Economy 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Economy

Of 22 developers who shipped an Economy 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×3.8 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $32k, ×52 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 30 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 30 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Economy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $32k → $6.2k → $2.4k → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Economy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,395)
Top 25% $25k (exactly $24,551)
Top 5% $32k (exactly $32,364)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 49
Announced 30
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Economy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Economy; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Management, Simulation, Building
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 67% positive over 608 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $24k, 1 in 20 over $32k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Real estate tycoon · EA older $10.99 418 63% 13k $138k (exactly $137,815) Double Eggs
A-Train 9 V5.0 : Japan Train Simulator Ultimate Edition $39.99 36 77% 1.1k $43k (exactly $43,189) ARTDINK
Casino Island Simulator · EA $8.99 120 61% 3.6k $32k (exactly $32,364) Clap Games
HAM: The Game $7.99 109 69% 3.3k $26k (exactly $26,127) Little Bird Studios
Laundry & Supermarket Simulator $9.99 86 77% 2.6k $26k (exactly $25,774) SmartPlayGames
Magical Bakery $14.99 57 77% 1.7k $26k (exactly $25,633) SUPERLUMEN
Fun Park Simulator · EA $12.99 63 58% 1.9k $25k (exactly $24,551) Flugames
Tech Market Simulator $9.99 68 60% 2.0k $20k (exactly $20,380) Clap Games
Mobile Store Simulator · EA older $10.99 55 34% 1.7k $18k (exactly $18,134) Flugames
Farm Supply Simulator 25 · EA $11.99 26 84% 780 $9.4k (exactly $9,352) Superwolf Game Studio, Lycan Arts
Liquor And Wine Shop Simulator - Store Simulator $8.99 23 47% 690 $6.2k (exactly $6,203) Mascot Bro Studio, PixelHixel Games
Pizza Man Simulator $9.99 20 50% 600 $6.0k (exactly $5,994) Mamma Mia Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.