Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Dynamic Narration

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dynamic Narration 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Dynamic Narration

Only 18 developers shipped a Dynamic Narration 3D Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Get To Work, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 7 developers shipped in the last year and 29 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 29 announced, ×4.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Dynamic Narration
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $59 → $7.2k → $1.5k → $3.3k → $90
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Dynamic Narration: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $3.3k (exactly $3,297)
Top 5% $1.3M (exactly $1,346,803)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 51
Announced 29
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Dynamic Narration
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Dynamic Narration; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Adventure, Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Funny, 1990's
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 4,092 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $300, 1 in 4 over $3.2k, 1 in 20 over $1.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Get To Work $12.99 3,456 88% 104k $1.3M (exactly $1,346,803) Isto Inc.
GEX Trilogy $29.99 332 71% 10k $299k (exactly $298,700) Limited Run Games, Crystal Dynamics
AWAY: The Survival Series older $19.99 318 55% 9.5k $191k (exactly $190,705) Breaking Walls
Please, Forgive Me older $6.99 264 65% 7.9k $55k (exactly $55,361) REVVALUTION Studio
Last Lesson older $6.99 155 65% 4.7k $33k (exactly $32,504) REVVALUTION Studio
Evil Holiday $4.99 208 80% 6.2k $31k (exactly $31,138) REVVALUTION Studio
Cartonfall older $7.99 115 89% 3.5k $28k (exactly $27,566) kuklam studios
Player Non Player older $9.99 36 100% 1.1k $11k (exactly $10,789) Jonathan Coryn
Grapple League older $9.99 24 95% 720 $7.2k (exactly $7,193) Rain Check Studios
24H Stories: The Rule 7 older $7.99 22 68% 660 $5.3k (exactly $5,273) LikeGames
KunSpace $2.10 58 96% 1.7k $3.7k (exactly $3,654) DeadManLi
A Tower's Will $9.99 11 100% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Midnight Light Games, https://midnightl… (Midnight Light Games, https://midnightlightgames.com/)
Unfair Rampage: Knightfall $5.99 14 85% 420 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Imphenzia
DuaLight $6.99 7 100% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,468) RedWineGames Studio
Cognite $3.99 3 100% 90 $359 (exactly $359) Frosted Wings Studio
AI Digital Human Studio $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) ExtraOrdinary Technology LLC
The Unshared $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) SQUIDA

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.