Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Demons

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Demon 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Demons

Of 45 developers who shipped a Demon 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 53 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $960, ×1.5 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $830k, ×1322 the market median. Revenue is up 1515% on the market; 53 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 1515% on the market, 53 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Demons
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 45
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $1.3k → $478 → $4.5k → $210 → $3.2k → $2.2k (still earning) → $718 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Demons: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 45
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $955 (exactly $955)
Top 25% $7.8k (exactly $7,792)
Top 5% $830k (exactly $830,423)
Developers, 2 yr 45
Released games 117
Announced 53
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1515% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Demons
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Action-Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 7,826 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $960, 1 in 4 over $7.7k, 1 in 20 over $830k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 27 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 53 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Legacy of Kain™ Soul Reaver 1&2 Remastered $29.99 3,042 90% 91k $2.7M (exactly $2,736,887) Aspyr, Crystal Dynamics
Soulstice older $39.99 1,845 76% 55k $2.2M (exactly $2,213,446) Reply Game Studios
Skate Story $19.99 2,733 96% 82k $1.6M (exactly $1,638,980) by Sam Eng
SEUM: Speedrunners from Hell older $14.99 2,050 95% 62k $922k (exactly $921,885) Pine Studio
Hell Pie older $24.99 1,116 91% 33k $837k (exactly $836,665) Sluggerfly
Luna Abyss $29.99 923 86% 28k $830k (exactly $830,423) Kwalee Labs
Shadow Man Remastered older $19.99 1,368 94% 41k $820k (exactly $820,390) Nightdive Studios, Acclaim Studios Tees… (Nightdive Studios, Acclaim Studios Teesside)
Demon Turf: Queens Edition older $29.99 577 84% 17k $519k (exactly $519,127) Fabraz
Eternity Egg · EA $19.99 577 82% 17k $346k (exactly $346,027) USERLANDS
除邪(CHUXIE) older $6.99 917 79% 28k $192k (exactly $192,295) LCGaming
Hell of an Office $14.99 121 89% 3.6k $54k (exactly $54,414) 43 Studios
NOROI KAGO: the Grudged Domain $9.99 105 79% 3.2k $31k (exactly $31,468) Toydium
Evil Holiday $4.99 208 80% 6.2k $31k (exactly $31,138) REVVALUTION Studio
Holy Shot $5.99 53 84% 1.6k $9.5k (exactly $9,524) LoneWolf Digital Arts
除邪2(CHUXIE2) $6.99 44 40% 1.3k $9.2k (exactly $9,227) LCGaming
Particle Hearts $14.99 20 90% 600 $9.0k (exactly $8,994) Underwater Fire

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.