Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Asynchronous Multiplayer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Asynchronous Multiplayer 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Asynchronous Multiplayer

Only 8 developers shipped a paid Asynchronous Multiplayer 3D Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, VHOLUME, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 19 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $17k, ×26 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $330; 1 in 20 cleared $710k, ×1143 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 19 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 26.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 19 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Asynchronous Multiplayer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Asynchronous Multiplayer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $330 (exactly $330)
Median $17k (exactly $16,553)
Top 25% $623k (exactly $623,001)
Top 5% $718k (exactly $718,080)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 32
Announced 19
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $10.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 44%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Asynchronous Multiplayer
effort 5 / 10 · low · a backend with accounts and persistent turns

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Asynchronous Multiplayer
Price point
$10.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 4,527 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $330, median $17k, 1 in 4 over $620k, 1 in 20 over $710k.

3 in 10 developers made under $330. 6 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
VHOLUME $8.00 2,992 97% 90k $718k (exactly $718,080) Nathan Grange, Léonard Lemaitre, Niels… (Nathan Grange, Léonard Lemaitre, Niels Tiercelin)
Demon Tides $24.99 831 96% 25k $623k (exactly $623,001) Fabraz
Rocket Boots Mania $14.99 229 99% 6.9k $103k (exactly $102,981) Luma Play
Mass Exodus Redux older $6.99 280 72% 8.4k $59k (exactly $58,716) Altaire
Pogo3D older $7.99 116 97% 3.5k $28k (exactly $27,805) HEDGEWIZARDS
Codename: Terranova $23.99 23 69% 690 $17k (exactly $16,553) ACGames
DanSparkling · EA older $17.99 13 46% 390 $7.0k (exactly $7,016) Uniflex Co., Ltd.
Lost Marbles · EA older $9.99 18 100% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) Cabbeast Games
Goosey Guess older $4.99 13 100% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Gas Lantern Games
To The Top, Mammoth! $4.99 12 100% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) isTom Games Kft.
Doll Hero Thirty-Six $10.99 1 100% 30 $330 (exactly $330) 文山工作室
Ancient Maze $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) aro.
GolFall: Make Your Way Up $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) tesakiza

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.