Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Cyberpunk

Of 56 developers who shipped a Cyberpunk 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 136 more are announced, ×4.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180, ×0.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 136 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper, while revenue is up 20% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 20% on the market, 136 announced, ×4.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 56
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $269 → $1.5k → $898 → $599 → $239 → $90 (still earning) → $45 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 56
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $180 (exactly $180)
Top 25% $1.4k (exactly $1,439)
Top 5% $80k (exactly $80,060)
Developers, 2 yr 56
Released games 226
Announced 136
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Platformer, Action-Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $18.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Stylized, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $18.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 2,351 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $80k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 37 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 136 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mirror's Edge™ older $19.99 31,195 87% 936k $19M (exactly $18,707,642) DICE
Bomb Rush Cyberfunk older $39.99 12,645 98% 379k $15M (exactly $15,170,206) Team Reptile
Mirror's Edge™ Catalyst older $19.99 14,078 79% 422k $8.4M (exactly $8,442,577) DICE
Neon Echo · EA older $14.99 3,514 56% 105k $1.6M (exactly $1,580,246) Xinyuan Studio
Gori: Cuddly Carnage older $21.99 1,434 96% 43k $946k (exactly $946,010) Angry Demon Studio
Hover older $19.99 1,536 81% 46k $921k (exactly $921,139) Midgar Studio, Fusty Game
Quadrilateral Cowboy older $19.99 897 92% 27k $538k (exactly $537,931) Blendo Games
DeadCore older $9.99 1,584 85% 48k $475k (exactly $474,725) 5 Bits Games
CICADAMATA" $9.99 1,419 96% 43k $425k (exactly $425,274) ✿ flowergarden
El Shaddai ASCENSION OF THE METATRON HD Remaster older $29.99 457 83% 14k $411k (exactly $411,163) crim Co., Ltd.
Haydee 3 $29.99 321 84% 9.6k $289k (exactly $288,804) Haydee Interactive
Head's Adventures:chibichibi $7.99 334 97% 10k $80k (exactly $80,060) ManaWanderer
Liuyin's world $18.99 79 89% 2.4k $45k (exactly $45,006) kingnagame
AI-deal-Rays [General Edition] $5.99 112 58% 3.4k $20k (exactly $20,126) Riez-ON
Ticking Together $4.99 37 97% 1.1k $5.5k (exactly $5,539) Furkan Baytak, Furkan Özkaya
Filtration $19.99 7 100% 210 $4.2k (exactly $4,198) Whirligig Studios
CYBERSLAYER: No Time to Regret $4.99 25 92% 750 $3.7k (exactly $3,742) KAEV Games
CODE:VALKYRIE III $19.99 6 66% 180 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) Ulimworks
Mikoshi: The Lost Crystals $5.99 11 90% 330 $2.0k (exactly $1,977) DremGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.