Do I ship it?

GamesCRPGCRPG + 3D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 3D Platformer CRPG?

CRPG + 3D Platformer

Of 24 developers who shipped a 3D Platformer CRPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 41 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240. 41 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper, while revenue is down 50% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 41 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
CRPG + 3D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 24
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $0 → $959 → $180 → $270 → $1.3k → $1.3k → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for CRPG + 3D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 24
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $539 (exactly $539)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,050)
Top 5% $60k (exactly $60,014)
Developers, 2 yr 24
Released games 103
Announced 41
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

CRPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
CRPG, 3D Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Adventure, Action RPG
Price point
$5.00 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $5.00.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 1,485 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $540, 1 in 4 over $3.0k, 1 in 20 over $60k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 25 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 41 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

CRPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $26k · 14 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair84 devs · median $2.4k · 95 announced
  3. + TabletopFair22 devs · median $1.9k · 26 announced
  4. + Traditional RoguelikeFair12 devs · median $1.9k · 13 announced
  5. + 2D PlatformerFair62 devs · median $1.2k · 76 announced
  6. + IncrementalLong shot32 devs · median $449 · 27 announced
  7. + FMVPoor odds16 devs · median $58k · 14 announced
  8. + Card BattlerPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 28 announced
  9. + Grid-Based MovementPoor odds26 devs · median $23k · 46 announced
  10. + SpacePoor odds11 devs · median $22k · 23 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds13 devs · median $22k · 23 announced
  12. + Souls-likePoor odds12 devs · median $20k · 24 announced

All 123 pairs on the CRPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Chinese Online Game older $9.99 6,610 82% 198k $2.0M (exactly $1,981,017) 648工作室
沙雕之路 $10.00 1,039 96% 31k $312k (exactly $311,700) 馆叔
Twelves:Shadow $12.99 154 35% 4.6k $60k (exactly $60,014) JuLu Studio
XiuzhenWorld2 $12.99 134 67% 4.0k $52k (exactly $52,220) Noforgetit
Xuan-Yuan Sword V older $9.99 147 60% 4.4k $44k (exactly $44,056) DOMO Studio, SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT
Another Crusade older $19.99 39 79% 1.2k $23k (exactly $23,388) Dragon Vein Studios
Your Cute Wife older $18.99 41 78% 1.2k $23k (exactly $23,358) 1UP Games
仙途世界 older $29.99 16 87% 480 $14k (exactly $14,395) Deep Cave
Run Pizza Run older $4.99 83 86% 2.5k $12k (exactly $12,425) IZI Games
Ice and Fire of Maiden older $9.99 38 57% 1.1k $11k (exactly $11,389) Erogenous Moonlight
PLAYNESE: Master Japanese · EA $19.95 17 94% 510 $10k (exactly $10,174) Wynand Smit
古咒迷途 (lost curse) $3.99 68 95% 2.0k $8.1k (exactly $8,140) 拙画翁
Mush Dash · EA $2.99 34 82% 1.0k $3.1k (exactly $3,050) 笨笨Bon, CrazyDog, 邻居家的猫
SaveShe $69.99 1 100% 30 $2.1k (exactly $2,100) shibahuax
Another World Guardian $4.99 13 30% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) HHgame
Maldives in Dream $3.99 11 63% 330 $1.3k (exactly $1,317) MDIDGame
Goblin: Mutation $3.00 14 21% 420 $1.3k (exactly $1,260) richard

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.