Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Crime

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Crime 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Crime

Only 15 developers shipped a Crime 3D Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Break-In, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360, ×0.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $59. 24 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper, while revenue is up 515% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 515% on the market, 24 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Crime
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.8k → $59 → $3.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Crime: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $3.5k (exactly $3,506)
Top 5% $1.2M (exactly $1,223,388)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 43
Announced 24
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 515% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Crime
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
3D Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Action-Adventure, Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Dark Comedy
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 2,123 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $360, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $1.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Squirrel with a Gun older $19.99 3,112 86% 93k $1.9M (exactly $1,866,266) Dee Dee Creations LLC
The Break-In $19.99 2,040 87% 61k $1.2M (exactly $1,223,388) jorgen games Ltd, Oliver Josh
Doorways: Prelude older $9.99 351 58% 11k $105k (exactly $105,195) Saibot Studios
Prison Girl older $4.99 79 25% 2.4k $12k (exactly $11,826) MA Game
Timothy vs the Aliens older $16.99 15 73% 450 $7.6k (exactly $7,645) WildSphere
Tatari $9.99 21 61% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) Hidden Tower Studios
Pretty Agent older $4.99 39 71% 1.2k $5.8k (exactly $5,838) MC GAME
24H Stories: The Rule 7 older $7.99 22 68% 660 $5.3k (exactly $5,273) LikeGames
Dungeon Girl older $4.99 33 54% 990 $4.9k (exactly $4,940) MCG
Wild Gun older $9.99 13 92% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) KIMYS STUDIO
Digging a Hole... with a Spoon... Escape from Alcatraz $3.99 31 61% 930 $3.7k (exactly $3,711) Eddaheim
The Wanted 3 $8.99 13 61% 390 $3.5k (exactly $3,506) 瑶颜游戏
Pretty Agent 2 $4.99 7 28% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) MC GAME
The Final Shuffle $5.99 4 50% 120 $719 (exactly $719) KaashFusionStudio
Bodycam:Adrenaline $9.99 2 0% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Rocket Game
TearItUp® Remix $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Immure Creations®
ANTYAVAN $6.99 1 0% 30 $210 (exactly $210) Priyansh JS Yadav
TEMSHCHIK $2.99 2 0% 60 $179 (exactly $179) AzRuEntertainment

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.