Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Cooking

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cooking 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Cooking

Of 26 developers who shipped a Cooking 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×1.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $82k, ×132 the market median. Revenue is up 80% on the market; 39 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 39 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Cooking
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 26
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $807 → $359 → $2.2k → $449 → $3.1k → $419 (still earning) → $6.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Cooking: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 26
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $1.1k (exactly $1,079)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $18,473)
Top 5% $83k (exactly $82,772)
Developers, 2 yr 26
Released games 63
Announced 39
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Cooking
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Cooking; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Exploration, Character Customization
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Family Friendly, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 6,285 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $1.1k, 1 in 4 over $18k, 1 in 20 over $82k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. Nearly all of the 21 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Starsand Island $39.99 5,898 76% 177k $7.1M (exactly $7,075,831) Seed Sparkle Lab
Thirsty Suitors older $29.99 233 96% 7.0k $210k (exactly $209,630) Outerloop Games
WorldNeverland - Daily Life in the Elnea Kingdom - Another Life Adventure $29.99 92 78% 2.8k $83k (exactly $82,772) althi Inc.
Duck Life 9: The Flock older $9.99 190 83% 5.7k $57k (exactly $56,943) Wix Games
Dosa Divas $19.99 56 94% 1.7k $34k (exactly $33,583) Outerloop Games
Magical Bakery $14.99 57 77% 1.7k $26k (exactly $25,633) SUPERLUMEN
Umami Grove $19.99 42 92% 1.3k $25k (exactly $25,187) Pomshine Games
Foodslingers $9.99 83 96% 2.5k $25k (exactly $24,875) Ardent Games
RippleIsland Kyle and Cal’s Restaurant $27.99 22 68% 660 $18k (exactly $18,473) SUNSOFT
Brasil Simuleitor · EA older $19.99 11 100% 330 $6.6k (exactly $6,597) Rikardo
Pizza Man Simulator $9.99 20 50% 600 $6.0k (exactly $5,994) Mamma Mia Studio
Rascal's Escape $29.99 6 66% 180 $5.4k (exactly $5,398) the Good Evil GmbH
Pardon My French Toast · EA $19.99 9 100% 270 $5.4k (exactly $5,397) ReRolled Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.