Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Platformer › 3D Platformer + Combat

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Combat 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Combat

Of 263 developers who shipped a Combat 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 586 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 154 developers shipped in the last year and 586 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 30% on the market, 586 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Combat
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 263
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.0k → $959 → $270 → $540 → $748 → $359 → $359 (still earning) → $479 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Combat: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 263
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $3.7k (exactly $3,742)
Top 5% $445k (exactly $445,352)
Developers, 2 yr 263
Released games 834
Announced 586
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Combat
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Combat; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Action-Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 48,908 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $450, 1 in 4 over $3.7k, 1 in 20 over $440k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 9 in 10 of the 161 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 586 games are announced against 154 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Sonic Frontiers 2022 · $27M Kena: Bridge of Spirits 2022 · $20M LEGO® Batman™: Legacy of the Dark Knight 2026 · $18M Neon White 2022 · $13M Death's Door 2021 · $12M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sonic Frontiers older $39.99 22,701 90% 681k $27M (exactly $27,234,390) Sonic Team
Kena: Bridge of Spirits older $39.99 16,701 91% 501k $20M (exactly $20,036,190) Ember Lab
LEGO® Batman™: Legacy of the Dark Knight $69.99 8,728 95% 262k $18M (exactly $18,326,182) TT Games
Neon White older $24.99 17,259 97% 518k $13M (exactly $12,939,072) Angel Matrix
Death's Door older $19.99 19,330 93% 580k $12M (exactly $11,592,201) Acid Nerve
Mirror's Edge™ Catalyst older $19.99 14,078 79% 422k $8.4M (exactly $8,442,577) DICE
ATLYSS · EA $9.99 19,244 96% 577k $5.8M (exactly $5,767,427) Kiseff
South of Midnight $39.99 4,382 94% 131k $5.3M (exactly $5,257,085) Compulsion Games
Trine 3: The Artifacts of Power older $21.99 7,301 63% 219k $4.8M (exactly $4,816,470) Frozenbyte
Made in Abyss: Binary Star Falling into Darkness older $59.99 2,650 79% 80k $4.8M (exactly $4,769,205) Chime Corporation
Legacy of Kain™ Soul Reaver 1&2 Remastered $29.99 3,042 90% 91k $2.7M (exactly $2,736,887) Aspyr, Crystal Dynamics
The Plucky Squire $29.99 2,795 84% 84k $2.5M (exactly $2,514,662) All Possible Futures
Voidling Bound $24.99 3,126 92% 94k $2.3M (exactly $2,343,562) Hatchery Games
s&box $9.99 5,118 46% 154k $1.5M (exactly $1,533,865) Facepunch Studios
MOBILE SUIT GUNDAM SEED BATTLE DESTINY REMASTERED $39.99 757 77% 23k $908k (exactly $908,173) Bandai Namco Forge Digitals Inc.
Luna Abyss $29.99 923 86% 28k $830k (exactly $830,423) Kwalee Labs
Duskfade $29.99 793 91% 24k $713k (exactly $713,462) Weird Beluga

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.