Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Collectathon

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Collectathon

Of 206 developers who shipped a Collectathon 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 322 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×476 the market median. Revenue is up 50% on the market; 322 games are announced against 122 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 50% on the market, 322 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Collectathon
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 206
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $1.5k → $2.7k → $897 → $1.3k → $1.8k → $598 (still earning) → $748 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Collectathon: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 206
Bottom 30% $240 (exactly $240)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $8.6k (exactly $8,598)
Top 5% $299k (exactly $298,700)
Developers, 2 yr 206
Released games 553
Announced 322
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 50% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Collectathon; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Platformer, Exploration
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, 3D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 9,405 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $900, 1 in 4 over $8.5k, 1 in 20 over $290k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 115 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 322 games are announced against 122 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
A Hat in Time older $29.99 42,863 97% 1.3M $39M (exactly $38,563,841) Gears for Breakfast
Spyro™ Reignited Trilogy older $39.99 14,211 92% 426k $17M (exactly $17,048,937) Toys for Bob, Iron Galaxy Studios
SpongeBob SquarePants: Battle for Bikini Bottom - Rehydrated older $29.99 14,439 94% 433k $13M (exactly $12,990,768) Purple Lamp
Supraland older $19.99 12,376 95% 371k $7.4M (exactly $7,421,887) Supra Games
Pumpkin Jack older $29.99 7,416 91% 222k $6.7M (exactly $6,672,175) Evil Raptor
Crash Bandicoot™ 4: It’s About Time older $39.99 3,985 86% 120k $4.8M (exactly $4,780,804) Toys for Bob, Beenox, Activision Shangh… (Toys for Bob, Beenox, Activision Shanghai, Hardsuit Labs, Iron Galaxy Studios)
SpongeBob SquarePants: The Cosmic Shake older $39.99 3,129 92% 94k $3.8M (exactly $3,753,861) Purple Lamp
Psychonauts older $9.99 12,343 95% 370k $3.7M (exactly $3,699,197) Double Fine Productions
Bang-On Balls: Chronicles older $24.99 4,334 96% 130k $3.2M (exactly $3,249,200) Exit Plan Games
Lil Gator Game older $19.99 4,511 98% 135k $2.7M (exactly $2,705,247) MegaWobble
SpongeBob SquarePants: Titans of the Tide $39.99 1,151 93% 35k $1.4M (exactly $1,380,855) Purple Lamp
Yooka-Replaylee $29.99 1,045 92% 31k $940k (exactly $940,186) Playtonic Games
Duskfade $29.99 793 91% 24k $713k (exactly $713,462) Weird Beluga
Funi Raccoon Game $11.99 1,683 99% 50k $605k (exactly $605,375) Crayon, Kit
Bubsy 4D $19.99 777 92% 23k $466k (exactly $465,967) Fabraz
CICADAMATA" $9.99 1,419 96% 43k $425k (exactly $425,274) ✿ flowergarden
Mr. Sleepy Man $19.99 636 98% 19k $381k (exactly $381,409) Devin Santi
Biped 2 $14.99 813 71% 24k $366k (exactly $365,606) META Publishing, NEXT Studios, PlayJoy… (META Publishing, NEXT Studios, PlayJoy Studios)
Eternity Egg · EA $19.99 577 82% 17k $346k (exactly $346,027) USERLANDS
Isopod: A Webbed Spin-off $19.99 511 88% 15k $306k (exactly $306,447) Sbug Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.