Games › 3D Platformer › 3D Platformer + Choose Your Own Adventure
Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure 3D Platformer?
3D Platformer + Choose Your Own Adventure
Of 66 developers who shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 90 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $420 in the last 2 years and $420 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 27 developers shipped in the last year and 90 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $119 (exactly $119) |
|---|---|
| Median | $419 (exactly $419) |
| Top 25% | $1.4k (exactly $1,436) |
| Top 5% | $15k (exactly $14,840) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 66 |
| Released games | 212 |
| Announced | 90 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- 3D Platformer
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Choose Your Own Adventure
- effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- 3D Platformer, Choose Your Own Adventure; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action-Adventure, Exploration
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 1,702 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 58 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 90 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + TransportationFair
- + MiningFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + GolfFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + SokobanFair
- + Survival HorrorFair
- + Perma DeathFair
- + AutomationFair
- + OffroadLong shot
- + Looter ShooterLong shot
- + CatsLong shot
Comparable games
Sable 2021 · $4.0M 
HoneySelect2Libido DX 2022 · $2.7M 
Caravan SandWitch 2024 · $2.1M 
Disney Epic Mickey: Rebrushed 2024 · $1.5M 
轮回修仙路 2023 · $1.5M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Sable | older | $24.99 | 5,365 86% | 161k | $4.0M (exactly $4,022,140) | Shedworks |
| | HoneySelect2Libido DX | older | $69.99 | 1,283 82% | 38k | $2.7M (exactly $2,693,915) | ILLUSION |
| | Caravan SandWitch | older | $24.99 | 2,797 88% | 84k | $2.1M (exactly $2,096,911) | Studio Plane Toast |
| | Disney Epic Mickey: Rebrushed | $39.99 | 1,275 93% | 38k | $1.5M (exactly $1,529,618) | Purple Lamp | |
| | 轮回修仙路 | older | $16.99 | 2,945 82% | 88k | $1.5M (exactly $1,501,066) | 烟水寒工作室 |
 | ALTF4 | older | $2.99 | 9,452 80% | 284k | $848k (exactly $847,844) | PUMPKIM |
 | Gloomy Eyes | $24.99 | 155 94% | 4.7k | $116k (exactly $116,204) | Atlas V, Be Revolution Gaming, 3Dar, Fi… (Atlas V, Be Revolution Gaming, 3Dar, Fishing Cactus, ARTE France) | |
 | The Entrepreneur | older | $9.99 | 330 80% | 9.9k | $99k (exactly $98,901) | MisterMaya |
 | Fate and Life: The Mystery of Vaulinhorn | $13.99 | 139 64% | 4.2k | $58k (exactly $58,338) | Celestial Novel | |
 | The Age of Navigation | older | $5.99 | 164 57% | 4.9k | $29k (exactly $29,471) | Upstream Games |
 | 1000 Deaths (Thousand Deaths) | $14.99 | 33 87% | 990 | $15k (exactly $14,840) | Pariah Interactive, Inc. | |
 | PLAYNESE: Master Japanese | · EA | $19.95 | 17 94% | 510 | $10k (exactly $10,174) | Wynand Smit |
 | A Happy Place | $9.99 | 25 96% | 750 | $7.5k (exactly $7,492) | Ziggity | |
 | Liquor And Wine Shop Simulator - Store Simulator | $8.99 | 23 47% | 690 | $6.2k (exactly $6,203) | Mascot Bro Studio, PixelHixel Games | |
 | Rascal's Escape | $29.99 | 6 66% | 180 | $5.4k (exactly $5,398) | the Good Evil GmbH | |
 | Platform 6 ONLINE | 6番線オンライン協力異変探し | $9.99 | 18 83% | 540 | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) | MFC STUDIO, SHINISE GAMES, KOSEI YASUDA | |
 | Backrooms: Partygoers | $11.99 | 11 90% | 330 | $4.0k (exactly $3,957) | Mascot Bro Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.