Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Card Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Card Game 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Card Game

Of 20 developers who shipped a Card Game 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $210 in the last 2 years and $210 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 9 developers shipped in the last year and 19 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 260% on the market, 19 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Card Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $239 → $0 → $7.2k → $419 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Card Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $210 (exactly $210)
Top 25% $1.7k (exactly $1,676)
Top 5% $10k (exactly $10,174)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 67
Announced 19
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 260% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Card Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Card Game; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Card Battler, Strategy, Strategy RPG
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 134 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $210, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $10k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Neon White older $24.99 17,259 97% 518k $13M (exactly $12,939,072) Angel Matrix
Just Go older $9.99 3,227 92% 97k $967k (exactly $967,132) Studio Amateur
Gomoku Let's Go older $2.99 883 88% 26k $79k (exactly $79,205) Studio Amateur
PLAYNESE: Master Japanese · EA $19.95 17 94% 510 $10k (exactly $10,174) Wynand Smit
Soul•Apocalypto $11.99 20 80% 600 $7.2k (exactly $7,194) 卜乙冈(Ploygon)
Schoolgirl Card Pull Simulator $6.99 34 61% 1.0k $7.1k (exactly $7,130) Violet Soft
Isekai Mage Girl Gacha Pull Simulator: Elemental Card Collection $6.99 27 74% 810 $5.7k (exactly $5,662) Violet Soft
Roll & Win CASINO PARTY $11.99 8 87% 240 $2.9k (exactly $2,878) SAT-BOX
Excrucia $3.99 14 71% 420 $1.7k (exactly $1,676) Mansur
Arena 9th older $8.99 5 100% 150 $1.3k (exactly $1,348) NINE CONCHES Studio
The King of Wall Street $4.99 8 100% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Yogo Studio
Soul•Last Bastion $6.99 3 0% 90 $629 (exactly $629) 卜乙冈(Ploygon)
Dice Tech Dominion - Enter the Shadow Circuit $14.99 1 100% 30 $450 (exactly $450) AUTeddy
DDOL $6.99 2 100% 60 $419 (exactly $419) MOMO

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.