Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Capitalism

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Capitalist 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Capitalism

Of 21 developers who shipped a Capitalist 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 33 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $840, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $25k, ×41 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 33 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 33 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Capitalism
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.6k → $0 → $26k → $6.2k → $1.6k → $240 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Capitalism: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $839 (exactly $839)
Top 25% $6.2k (exactly $6,203)
Top 5% $26k (exactly $25,774)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 45
Announced 33
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Capitalism
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Management, Action, Action-Adventure
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Realistic, Third Person, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 3,734 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $840, 1 in 4 over $6.2k, 1 in 20 over $25k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 9 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 33 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Get To Work $12.99 3,456 88% 104k $1.3M (exactly $1,346,803) Isto Inc.
Real estate tycoon · EA older $10.99 418 63% 13k $138k (exactly $137,815) Double Eggs
Laundry & Supermarket Simulator $9.99 86 77% 2.6k $26k (exactly $25,774) SmartPlayGames
Magical Bakery $14.99 57 77% 1.7k $26k (exactly $25,633) SUPERLUMEN
Bombing!! 2: A Graffiti Paradise older $19.99 37 94% 1.1k $22k (exactly $22,189) Devon Wiersma
D-Corp older $19.99 36 77% 1.1k $22k (exactly $21,589) Frogsong Studios
Unaccessible $9.99 55 94% 1.7k $16k (exactly $16,484) REMBOT GAMES
Designated Driver Simulator · EA $17.99 16 62% 480 $8.6k (exactly $8,635) PostSIM
18Hell:Lost older $7.99 35 91% 1.1k $8.4k (exactly $8,390) DWall Games
Timeworks older $4.99 51 100% 1.5k $7.6k (exactly $7,635) Starworks Studios
Liquor And Wine Shop Simulator - Store Simulator $8.99 23 47% 690 $6.2k (exactly $6,203) Mascot Bro Studio, PixelHixel Games
Konbini Simulator $4.99 16 37% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) mobaroid
Crude Oil $12.99 6 33% 180 $2.3k (exactly $2,338) Elfsend
Bad Goys $4.99 11 72% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Silvercrest Studios
The King of Wall Street $4.99 8 100% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Yogo Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.