Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Bullet Time

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Bullet Time 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Bullet Time

Of 33 developers who shipped a Bullet Time 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 46 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240, ×0.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 46 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper, while revenue is down 40% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 46 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Bullet Time
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 33
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.7k → $898 → $898 → $178 → $599 → $3.1k → $300 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Bullet Time: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 33
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 5% $12k (exactly $12,142)
Developers, 2 yr 33
Released games 98
Announced 46
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Bullet Time
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Bullet Time; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Platformer, Parkour
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 1,081 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $240, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $12k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. Nearly all of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 46 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Shady Knight $19.99 898 93% 27k $539k (exactly $538,531) Alexey 'cptnsigh'
Espire 1: VR Operative older $19.99 381 54% 11k $228k (exactly $228,486) Digital Lode Immersive Media
Ary and the Secret of Seasons older $39.99 134 64% 4.0k $161k (exactly $160,760) eXiin, Fishing Cactus
Warstride Challenges older $19.99 242 89% 7.3k $145k (exactly $145,127) Dream Powered Games
Recompile older $19.99 145 67% 4.4k $87k (exactly $86,956) Phigames
Rocket Assault: Downhill Rush older $7.99 209 92% 6.3k $50k (exactly $50,097) Giovanni Elgert
Grapple Hoops older $11.99 75 73% 2.3k $27k (exactly $26,978) Andreas Georgiou
Parkour Labs older $12.99 56 92% 1.7k $22k (exactly $21,823) SoyKhaler
Presentiment of Death older $14.99 45 71% 1.4k $20k (exactly $20,236) XOCUS
Angry Penguin older $1.99 328 92% 9.8k $20k (exactly $19,582) PAIN PEPPER
SPEEDSHOT $14.99 27 100% 810 $12k (exactly $12,142) karmacode
Sheep Seeker $9.99 22 100% 660 $6.6k (exactly $6,593) Isaac MENARD, Luna GARCIN, Alexander KI… (Isaac MENARD, Luna GARCIN, Alexander KIRK, Séverin RICHARD, Matthieu FARROW, François HANUS, Quentin EUNG, Mattéo GLAIRON-MONDET, Lucas RENARD, Céline TRUONG)
Spear $9.99 17 100% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) Andrea Cavuoto
Deedlee Doo! Carkour! $3.99 29 96% 870 $3.5k (exactly $3,471) Just Purkey Games
Sleembo $4.99 23 69% 690 $3.4k (exactly $3,443) Sleembo Games
DOSTAVKA $2.99 38 92% 1.1k $3.4k (exactly $3,409) SASHADEV, SASHA
Dark Erosion: Endless Siege $6.99 15 80% 450 $3.1k (exactly $3,146) LaoLiang
LightQb $9.99 5 80% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) RobDoesStuff
PathUp! $6.99 7 85% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,468) Geghamyan Hrachya

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.