Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Boxing

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Boxing 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Boxing

Only 6 developers shipped a Boxing 3D Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dadlympics, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced, ×11 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $120 against a market of $630. 11 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 11 announced, ×11 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Boxing
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $239 → $179 → $120
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Boxing: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $120 (exactly $120)
Top 25% $270 (exactly $270)
Top 5% $1.7k (exactly $1,676)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 31
Announced 11
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 80% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Boxing
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Boxing
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 1,654 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $120, 1 in 4 over $270, 1 in 20 over $1.6k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×11 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Kao the Kangaroo older $29.99 871 74% 26k $784k (exactly $783,639) Tate Multimedia
Blast Beat older $19.99 46 93% 1.4k $28k (exactly $27,586) gz.inc
Kao the Kangaroo (2000 re-release) older $1.99 397 73% 12k $24k (exactly $23,701) Tate Multimedia
Kao the Kangaroo: Mystery of the Volcano (2005 re-release) older $1.99 237 70% 7.1k $14k (exactly $14,149) Tate Multimedia
Guilty Loving Boxing older $19.99 22 95% 660 $13k (exactly $13,193) 痛風舎 (tsufusha)
Neko Journey older $4.99 29 58% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) Feas, Axyos Games
Girlfight 2024 older $7.99 18 33% 540 $4.3k (exactly $4,315) Wildcard Entertainment
VR Fitness older $6.99 9 88% 270 $1.9k (exactly $1,887) SK Soft
Dadlympics · EA $3.99 14 78% 420 $1.7k (exactly $1,676) Gooby Games
Boxing Queen older $4.99 11 45% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) MCGame
The Dance of Maple Leaves $8.99 1 100% 30 $270 (exactly $270) 程进, 程进
VR Ikare (Crazy) $3.99 1 0% 30 $120 (exactly $120) KinkBunko
Shuruka Boxing $2.99 1 0% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Naveen Hegde, Arvind Kumar Sahu
Code Ragnarok $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) 吴健002
Mortal Fight: Lethal Revenge $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Kanuni Games OYUN YAZILIM VE PAZARLAMA… (Kanuni Games OYUN YAZILIM VE PAZARLAMA Ticaret Limited Sirketi)

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.