Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Boomer Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Boomer Shooter 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Boomer Shooter

Of 28 developers who shipped a Boomer Shooter 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $350 in the last 2 years and $420 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 14 developers shipped in the last year and 43 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 1590% on the market, 43 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Boomer Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 28
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $16k → $239 → $3.1k → $419 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Boomer Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 28
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $345 (exactly $345)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,116)
Top 5% $722k (exactly $721,579)
Developers, 2 yr 28
Released games 57
Announced 43
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1590% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Boomer Shooter
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Boomer Shooter; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, FPS, Platformer
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Stylized
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 3,070 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $350, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $720k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 9 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Turok older $19.99 3,377 93% 101k $2.0M (exactly $2,025,187) Iguana Entertainment, Nightdive Studios
Luna Abyss $29.99 923 86% 28k $830k (exactly $830,423) Kwalee Labs
Onirism $17.99 1,337 82% 40k $722k (exactly $721,579) Crimson Tales
Bears In Space older $19.99 477 87% 14k $286k (exactly $286,057) Broadside Games
BAIONLENJA · EA $12.99 510 97% 15k $199k (exactly $198,747) BAION
Warstride Challenges older $19.99 242 89% 7.3k $145k (exactly $145,127) Dream Powered Games
ENCHAIN · EA $19.99 94 96% 2.8k $56k (exactly $56,372) mattlawrdev
GLUM · EA $12.49 78 64% 2.3k $29k (exactly $29,227) CinderCat Games
Paradox Vector older $9.99 59 83% 1.8k $18k (exactly $17,682) Schmidt Workshops
TAGLINE older $9.99 52 92% 1.6k $16k (exactly $15,584) NOTH
ALARIC $14.99 14 92% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) Dominik Grigoras
Galatico · EA $7.99 13 100% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) Galatico Studios
Beat This Game To See Hot Lady $0.99 88 93% 2.6k $2.6k (exactly $2,614) Del "DeeDave" Huband, Logan &… (Del "DeeDave" Huband, Logan "solidvoid" Swainston)
Intelektronica · EA $9.99 8 100% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) RingoGames
HYPER PRIMATE $14.99 5 100% 150 $2.2k (exactly $2,248) Totem Softproducts

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.