Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Board Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Board Game 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Board Game

Of 31 developers who shipped a Board Game 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $180 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 16 developers shipped in the last year and 34 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 55% on the market, 34 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Board Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 31
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $0 → $9.0k → $598 → $0 → $719 → $239 (still earning) → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Board Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 31
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $180 (exactly $180)
Top 25% $598 (exactly $598)
Top 5% $25k (exactly $24,746)
Developers, 2 yr 31
Released games 104
Announced 34
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 55% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Board Game; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry PvP, Strategy, Tabletop
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Family Friendly, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 896 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $590, 1 in 20 over $24k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 21 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Just Go older $9.99 3,227 92% 97k $967k (exactly $967,132) Studio Amateur
Stripjong - Super Real Mahjong Venus Returns $29.99 740 80% 22k $666k (exactly $665,778) ILLUMINATION
Akimbot older $19.99 761 82% 23k $456k (exactly $456,372) Evil Raptor
Richman 4 older $5.99 1,614 74% 48k $290k (exactly $290,036) SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT
富豪派对重制版 · EA older $6.99 728 85% 22k $153k (exactly $152,662) Tianmu Games
Gomoku Let's Go older $2.99 883 88% 26k $79k (exactly $79,205) Studio Amateur
Fritz 19 SE older $69.99 28 71% 840 $59k (exactly $58,792) ChessBase GmbH
Switchball HD older $12.99 145 88% 4.4k $57k (exactly $56,506) Atomic Elbow
Richman 8 older $7.99 214 64% 6.4k $51k (exactly $51,296) SOFTSTAR TECHNOLOGY(BEIJING)CO.LTD
Fritz Chess 20 Steam Edition $54.99 15 46% 450 $25k (exactly $24,746) ChessBase GmbH
Running Fable Petite Party $13.99 51 100% 1.5k $21k (exactly $21,405) Seashell Studio
Heroic Aegisio: Origins $7.99 27 77% 810 $6.5k (exactly $6,472) Vview Games
Carnival Heroes - Super party minigames $3.99 39 97% 1.2k $4.7k (exactly $4,668) LAN - GAMES LTD
Fritz - Dein Schachtrainer 2 $19.99 5 0% 150 $3.0k (exactly $2,998) ChessBase GmbH
Roll & Win CASINO PARTY $11.99 8 87% 240 $2.9k (exactly $2,878) SAT-BOX
Diamond Painting $7.99 4 75% 120 $959 (exactly $959) LeiZna
Sugoroku New Year's Party $11.99 2 100% 60 $719 (exactly $719) SAT-BOX
アネモネ / Anemone $3.99 5 100% 150 $598 (exactly $598) Jloo

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.