Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Platformer › 3D Platformer + Artificial Intelligence

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an AI 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Artificial Intelligence

Of 45 developers who shipped an AI 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 58 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $90 in the last 2 years and $240 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 17 developers shipped in the last year and 58 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 58 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Artificial Intelligence
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 45
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.1k → $600 → $179 → $60 → $90 → $179 → $269 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Artificial Intelligence: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 45
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $90 (exactly $90)
Top 25% $600 (exactly $600)
Top 5% $14k (exactly $13,786)
Developers, 2 yr 45
Released games 158
Announced 58
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Artificial Intelligence
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Puzzle
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 66% positive over 376 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $90, 1 in 4 over $600, 1 in 20 over $13k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. Nearly all of the 35 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 58 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Hubris 2022 · $737k WorldNeverland - Daily Life in the Elnea Kingdom - Another Life Adventure 2025 · $83k Virtual Virtual Reality 2 2022 · $24k The God Unit 2021 · $23k MY WOLF - Desktop Wild Pet 2022 · $21k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hubris older $29.99 819 74% 25k $737k (exactly $736,854) Cyborn B.V.
WorldNeverland - Daily Life in the Elnea Kingdom - Another Life Adventure $29.99 92 78% 2.8k $83k (exactly $82,772) althi Inc.
Virtual Virtual Reality 2 older $19.99 40 52% 1.2k $24k (exactly $23,988) Tender Claws
The God Unit older $9.99 78 96% 2.3k $23k (exactly $23,377) Cat Floor Studio
MY WOLF - Desktop Wild Pet older $3.99 172 77% 5.2k $21k (exactly $20,588) 3dm_live_wallpapers
AI-deal-Rays [General Edition] $5.99 112 58% 3.4k $20k (exactly $20,126) Riez-ON
Fumiko! older $6.99 90 82% 2.7k $19k (exactly $18,873) Fumiko Games
CyberWaifu older $3.99 132 48% 4.0k $16k (exactly $15,800) CyberDesktop
Platform $9.99 46 73% 1.4k $14k (exactly $13,786) METAGAR
BridgeTeam: Ship Simulator · EA older $29.99 14 35% 420 $13k (exactly $12,596) Enrych Media Ltd.
SIGMA WAR NOTES $12.99 12 66% 360 $4.7k (exactly $4,676) Ningbo Dongshe Network Technology Co.,… (Ningbo Dongshe Network Technology Co., Ltd)
Racer Overdrive $5.99 18 88% 540 $3.2k (exactly $3,235) IntActive
NEON $0.99 61 37% 1.8k $1.8k (exactly $1,812) Logna Blue
Botanical Chronicle $5.99 10 100% 300 $1.8k (exactly $1,797) Metapolis Games
Assassin of Monsters $3.99 14 78% 420 $1.7k (exactly $1,676) Saylor games
Separium: 12th Elevator $8.88 5 100% 150 $1.3k (exactly $1,332) ptpearl
Puzzledom $4.99 6 100% 180 $898 (exactly $898) FWGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.