Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Animals

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Animal 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Animals

Only 16 developers shipped an Animal 3D Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Herdling, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 49 more are announced, ×4.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, ×0.8 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $650k, ×1040 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 49 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 49 announced, ×4.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Animals
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $41k → $479 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Animals: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $84k (exactly $84,374)
Top 5% $653k (exactly $652,989)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 25
Announced 49
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Animals
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Action
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person, 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 3,040 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $480, 1 in 4 over $84k, 1 in 20 over $650k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 3 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 49 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Spirit of the North older $19.99 5,633 84% 169k $3.4M (exactly $3,378,110) Infuse Studio
Herdling $24.99 871 93% 26k $653k (exactly $652,989) Okomotive
The Spirit and the Mouse older $19.99 801 97% 24k $480k (exactly $480,360) Alblune
A Webbing Journey · EA $9.99 1,263 98% 38k $379k (exactly $378,521) Fire Totem Games
Zefyr: A Thief's Melody $19.99 401 96% 12k $240k (exactly $240,480) Oneiric Worlds
Kao the Kangaroo: Round 2 (2003 re-release) older $1.99 2,603 94% 78k $155k (exactly $155,399) Tate Multimedia
Frog Sqwad 🐸 $7.99 352 72% 11k $84k (exactly $84,374) Panic Stations
Tamarin older $29.99 78 60% 2.3k $70k (exactly $70,177) Chameleon Games
Only Way is Down $9.99 137 63% 4.1k $41k (exactly $41,059) Jilted Generation Productions
Kao the Kangaroo (2000 re-release) older $1.99 397 73% 12k $24k (exactly $23,701) Tate Multimedia
Sheep Sweep $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Elegant Horse Studios
RAT MEMORY $7.00 4 75% 120 $840 (exactly $840) Quero Games
BLORBIT $7.99 2 100% 60 $479 (exactly $479) jog16889
Rockoon $3.00 5 100% 150 $450 (exactly $450) Rockoon Team
A little Jumpingspider's Garden Adventure (Day 1+2) $14.99 1 100% 30 $450 (exactly $450) Chrimi Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.