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Should I ship an Alternate-History 3D Platformer?
3D Platformer + Alternate History
Of 22 developers who shipped an Alternate-History 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 63 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $210 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 13 developers shipped in the last year and 63 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $210 (exactly $210) |
| Top 25% | $987 (exactly $987) |
| Top 5% | $7.8k (exactly $7,794) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 22 |
| Released games | 84 |
| Announced | 63 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 260% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- 3D Platformer
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Alternate History
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- 3D Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, RPG, Action
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cartoony, Colorful
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 67% positive over 234 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 63 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
3D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + TransportationFair
- + MiningFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + GolfFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + SokobanFair
- + Survival HorrorFair
- + Perma DeathFair
- + AutomationFair
- + OffroadLong shot
- + Looter ShooterLong shot
- + CatsLong shot
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Wanderer: The Fragments of Fate | $49.99 | 149 62% | 4.5k | $223k (exactly $223,455) | Mighty Eyes | |
| | 7th Sector | older | $10.99 | 643 72% | 19k | $212k (exactly $211,997) | Носков Сергей |
| | Real estate tycoon | · EA older | $10.99 | 418 63% | 13k | $138k (exactly $137,815) | Double Eggs |
| | Lifeless Moon | older | $12.99 | 256 78% | 7.7k | $100k (exactly $99,763) | Serenity Forge |
| | Time Loader | older | $7.99 | 387 83% | 12k | $93k (exactly $92,764) | Flazm |
| | Aztech Forgotten Gods | older | $29.99 | 50 66% | 1.5k | $45k (exactly $44,985) | Lienzo |
| | Joe Wander and the Enigmatic Adventures | older | $29.99 | 48 79% | 1.4k | $43k (exactly $43,186) | Frozen Pixel |
| | Yupitergrad 🚀(Virtual Reality Adventure) | older | $14.99 | 88 95% | 2.6k | $40k (exactly $39,574) | Gamedust |
| | I dont Fall | older | $6.99 | 169 84% | 5.1k | $35k (exactly $35,439) | PUMPKIM |
| | 琉隐 | older | $8.99 | 118 54% | 3.5k | $32k (exactly $31,825) | kingna studio |
| | Three Kingdoms: Shu-Han Chronicles | $12.99 | 20 45% | 600 | $7.8k (exactly $7,794) | QianFan Game | |
| | Sheep Seeker | $9.99 | 22 100% | 660 | $6.6k (exactly $6,593) | Isaac MENARD, Luna GARCIN, Alexander KI… (Isaac MENARD, Luna GARCIN, Alexander KIRK, Séverin RICHARD, Matthieu FARROW, François HANUS, Quentin EUNG, Mattéo GLAIRON-MONDET, Lucas RENARD, Céline TRUONG) | |
| | SIGMA WAR NOTES | $12.99 | 12 66% | 360 | $4.7k (exactly $4,676) | Ningbo Dongshe Network Technology Co.,… (Ningbo Dongshe Network Technology Co., Ltd) | |
| | Wild West Saloon Simulator | · EA | $7.99 | 5 20% | 150 | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) | Walty Games |
| | Escape The Wojak GOTY | $2.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $987 (exactly $987) | Chungledown Max, Game Dev Guy | |
| | JETPACK BIRDIE | $4.99 | 6 83% | 180 | $898 (exactly $898) | Alexey Kuleshov | |
| | Kano. Stone islands. | $2.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $449 (exactly $449) | Sirotkin Aleksandr | |
| | Belonging to Eunoia | $7.00 | 2 100% | 60 | $420 (exactly $420) | Purestblue | |
| | Berserker 2: The Saga of Hilde | $5.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $359 (exactly $359) | One Life Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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